Prog Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| PRG Stock | USD 30.11 0.53 1.73% |
Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.67 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.4117 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.792 | Wall Street Target Price 40.125 |
Using PROG Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PROG Holdings from the perspective of PROG Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PROG Holdings using PROG Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PROG using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PROG Holdings' stock price.
PROG Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in PROG Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PROG. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PROG Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 29.8387 | Short Percent 0.0901 | Short Ratio 5.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 29.5578 |
PROG Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PROG Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PROG. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PROG can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PROG Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PROG Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PROG Holdings.
PROG Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.91 |
PROG Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PROG Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PROG Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PROG Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when PROG Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PROG Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PROG because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PROG Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 30.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current PROG contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that PROG Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0569% per day over the life of the 2026-01-16 option contract. With PROG Holdings trading at USD 30.11, that is roughly USD 0.0171 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating PROG Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring PROG Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out PROG Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. PROG Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PROG Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PROG Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PROG Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PROG Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PROG Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PROG Holdings' historical news coverage. PROG Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 28.79 and 32.89, respectively. We have considered PROG Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PROG Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PROG Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
PROG Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PROG Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PROG Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PROG Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.05 | 0.20 | 0.05 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
30.11 | 30.84 | 0.65 |
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PROG Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 19th of December PROG Holdings is traded for 30.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. PROG is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 30.84 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 197.12%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.65%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on PROG Holdings is about 748.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.16. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.46 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 197.25 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 879.47 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out PROG Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PROG Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PROG Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PROG Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how PROG Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PROG Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WLFC | Willis Lease Finance | 2.01 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.58 | (3.72) | 9.78 | |
| ALGT | Allegiant Travel | (1.54) | 10 per month | 2.45 | 0.11 | 5.96 | (3.71) | 30.10 | |
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | (0.14) | 11 per month | 1.61 | 0.01 | 2.86 | (3.01) | 12.98 | |
| HTZ | Hertz Global Holdings | (0.24) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.95 | (6.92) | 43.57 | |
| SLDP | Solid Power | (0.45) | 9 per month | 6.70 | 0.06 | 11.34 | (12.29) | 72.11 | |
| ECO | Okeanis Eco Tankers | 0.69 | 9 per month | 1.81 | 0.10 | 3.29 | (3.03) | 15.37 | |
| CTOS | Custom Truck One | (0.06) | 6 per month | 2.98 | 0.01 | 5.37 | (4.02) | 17.65 | |
| BBSI | Barrett Business Services | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.95 | (2.50) | 15.82 | |
| GIC | Global Industrial Co | (0.24) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.79 | (1.83) | 19.91 | |
| LMB | Limbach Holdings | 2.56 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.77 | (7.49) | 15.27 |
PROG Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PROG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PROG using various technical indicators. When you analyze PROG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PROG Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PROG Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PROG Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PROG Holdings based on analysis of PROG Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PROG Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PROG Holdings's related companies. | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0102 | 0.0107 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.73 | 0.69 |
Story Coverage note for PROG Holdings
The number of cover stories for PROG Holdings depends on current market conditions and PROG Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PROG Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PROG Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PROG Holdings Short Properties
PROG Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when PROG Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PROG Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PROG Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PROG Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 43.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 95.7 M |
Complementary Tools for PROG Stock analysis
When running PROG Holdings' price analysis, check to measure PROG Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PROG Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of PROG Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PROG Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PROG Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PROG Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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