Qurate Retail Series Stock Price Prediction

QRTEB Stock  USD 4.25  0.22  5.46%   
At the present time, the value of RSI of Qurate Retail's share price is approaching 43 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Qurate Retail, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

43

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Qurate Retail Series stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Qurate Retail shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Qurate Retail's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Qurate Retail and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Qurate Retail's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Qurate Retail Series, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Qurate Retail's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Qurate Retail based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Qurate stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Qurate Retail over a specific investment horizon. Using Qurate Retail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Qurate Retail Series from the perspective of Qurate Retail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Qurate Retail. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Qurate Retail to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Qurate because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Qurate Retail after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.25  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Qurate Retail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Qurate Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.203.9410.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.094.3810.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.544.204.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Qurate Retail. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Qurate Retail's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Qurate Retail's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Qurate Retail Series.

Qurate Retail After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Qurate Retail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Qurate Retail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Qurate Retail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Qurate Retail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Qurate Retail's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Qurate Retail's historical news coverage. Qurate Retail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.21 and 10.45, respectively. We have considered Qurate Retail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.25
4.25
After-hype Price
10.45
Upside
Qurate Retail is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Qurate Retail Series is based on 3 months time horizon.

Qurate Retail Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Qurate Retail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Qurate Retail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Qurate Retail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
6.15
 0.00  
  0.06 
4 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.25
4.25
0.00 
20,500  
Notes

Qurate Retail Hype Timeline

Qurate Retail Series is at this time traded for 4.25. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. Qurate is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on Qurate Retail is about 1537.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.19. About 89.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Qurate Retail was at this time reported as 0.98. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.37. Qurate Retail Series last dividend was issued on the 12th of November 2021. The entity had 1181:1000 split on the 15th of October 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Qurate Retail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Qurate Retail Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Qurate Retail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Qurate Retail's future price movements. Getting to know how Qurate Retail's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Qurate Retail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Qurate Retail Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Qurate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Qurate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Qurate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Qurate Retail Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Qurate Retail stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Qurate Retail Series, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Qurate Retail based on analysis of Qurate Retail hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Qurate Retail's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Qurate Retail's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.160.01940.02360.0224
Price To Sales Ratio0.220.05120.0310.0295

Story Coverage note for Qurate Retail

The number of cover stories for Qurate Retail depends on current market conditions and Qurate Retail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Qurate Retail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Qurate Retail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Qurate Retail Short Properties

Qurate Retail's future price predictability will typically decrease when Qurate Retail's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Qurate Retail Series often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Qurate Retail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Qurate Retail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding387 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B
When determining whether Qurate Retail Series offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Qurate Retail's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Qurate Retail Series Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Qurate Retail Series Stock:
Check out Qurate Retail Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Qurate Retail Series information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Qurate Retail's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

Complementary Tools for Qurate Stock analysis

When running Qurate Retail's price analysis, check to measure Qurate Retail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Qurate Retail is operating at the current time. Most of Qurate Retail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Qurate Retail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Qurate Retail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Qurate Retail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Qurate Retail's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Qurate Retail. If investors know Qurate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Qurate Retail listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.48)
Earnings Share
(0.37)
Revenue Per Share
28.204
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Return On Assets
0.0274
The market value of Qurate Retail Series is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Qurate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Qurate Retail's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Qurate Retail's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Qurate Retail's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Qurate Retail's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Qurate Retail's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Qurate Retail is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Qurate Retail's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.