Certara Stock Analysis

CERT Stock  USD 17.60  0.01  0.06%   
Certara is fairly valued with Real Value of 18.11 and Target Price of 18.57. The main objective of Certara stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Certara is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Certara's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Certara's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Certara's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Certara stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Certara is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Certara Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Certara's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Certara. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
For more information on how to buy Certara Stock please use our How to Invest in Certara guide.

Certara Stock Analysis Notes

About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Certara was currently reported as 6.55. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.49. Certara recorded a loss per share of 0.35. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Certara, Inc. provides software products and technology-enabled services to customers for biosimulation in drug discovery, preclinical and clinical research, regulatory submissions, and market access. Certara Inc. was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Princeton, New Jersey. Certara operates under Health Information Services classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 1054 people. For more info on Certara please contact William Feehery at 609 716 7900 or go to https://www.certara.com.

Certara Quarterly Total Revenue

88.01 Million

Certara Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Certara's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Certara or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 354.34 M. Net Loss for the year was (55.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 203.07 M.
Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Certara Set to Announce Quarterly Earnings on Tuesday - Defense World

Certara Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Certara to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Certara previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
6th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
13th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
6th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Certara Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Certara's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2021-11-09
2021-09-300.060.070.0116 
2024-02-29
2023-12-310.110.09-0.0218 
2022-08-09
2022-06-300.110.09-0.0218 
View All Earnings Estimates

Certara Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Certara is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Certara backward and forwards among themselves. Certara's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Certara's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Riverbridge Partners Llc2024-03-31
2.8 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2023-12-31
2.6 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2023-12-31
2.5 M
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2023-12-31
2.5 M
Ameriprise Financial Inc2023-12-31
2.2 M
Franklin Resources Inc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2023-09-30
1.6 M
Royal Bank Of Canada2023-12-31
1.4 M
Blackrock Inc2023-12-31
14 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
12.5 M
Note, although Certara's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Certara Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.82 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Certara's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Certara's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Certara Profitablity

Certara's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Certara's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Certara is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Certara's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Certara's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Certara's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.16) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.14) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.14.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.15)(0.16)
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 
Return On Assets(0.04)(0.03)
Return On Equity(0.05)(0.05)

Management Efficiency

Return On Capital Employed is likely to gain to 0.01 in 2024, whereas Return On Tangible Assets are likely to drop (0.16) in 2024. Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop to about 97 M in 2024. Liabilities And Stockholders Equity is likely to drop to about 1.5 B in 2024Certara's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Certara manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 6.59  4.35 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share(0.98)(1.03)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 40.77  38.73 
Price Book Value Ratio 2.67  2.54 
Enterprise Value Multiple 40.77  38.73 
Price Fair Value 2.67  2.54 
Enterprise Value2.9 B4.9 B
The analysis of Certara's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Certara's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Certara Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Beta
1.632

Technical Drivers

As of the 5th of May, Certara shows the Mean Deviation of 2.05, risk adjusted performance of 0.0471, and Downside Deviation of 2.34. Certara technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate data for nineteen technical drivers for Certara, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Certara standard deviation, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the Maximum Drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Certara is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 17.6 per share. Given that Certara has jensen alpha of 0.0117, we suggest you to validate Certara's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Certara Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was four with a total number of output elements of fifty-seven. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Certara middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Certara. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Certara Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Certara insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Certara's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Certara insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Certara Predictive Daily Indicators

Certara intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Certara stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Certara Corporate Filings

12th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
10th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
5th of April 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
4th of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
3rd of April 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
29th of March 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
27th of March 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
6th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Certara Forecast Models

Certara's time-series forecasting models are one of many Certara's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Certara's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Certara Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Certara prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Certara shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Certara. By using and applying Certara Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Certara entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.16)(0.15)
Operating Profit Margin 0.04  0.04 
Net Loss(0.16)(0.16)
Gross Profit Margin 0.47  0.64 

Current Certara Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Certara analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Certara analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
18.57Buy11Odds
Certara current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Certara analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Certara stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Certara, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Certara conference calls.
Certara Analyst Advice Details

Certara Stock Analysis Indicators

Certara stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Certara stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Certara shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Certara stock analysis, traders can identify Certara position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow239.7 M
Long Term Debt288.2 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding158.9 M
Total Stockholder EquityB
Tax Provision-5.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.141
Property Plant And Equipment Net12.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments235 M
Cash235 M
Accounts Payable5.2 M
Net Debt63.2 M
50 Day M A17.6679
Total Current Liabilities130 M
Other Operating Expenses340.3 M
Non Current Assets Total1.2 B
Forward Price Earnings40.1606
Non Currrent Assets Other1.9 M
Stock Based Compensation28.3 M
When determining whether Certara is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Certara Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Certara Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Certara Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Certara. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
For more information on how to buy Certara Stock please use our How to Invest in Certara guide.
You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .

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When running Certara's price analysis, check to measure Certara's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Certara is operating at the current time. Most of Certara's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Certara's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Certara's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Certara to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Certara's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Certara. If investors know Certara will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Certara listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
Earnings Share
(0.35)
Revenue Per Share
2.229
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.016
Return On Assets
0.0056
The market value of Certara is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Certara that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Certara's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Certara's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Certara's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Certara's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Certara's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Certara is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Certara's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.