Caledonia Mining Stock Analysis

CMCL Stock  USD 21.90  1.58  7.78%   
Caledonia Mining is overvalued with Real Value of 18.6 and Target Price of 20.25. The main objective of Caledonia Mining stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Caledonia Mining is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Caledonia Mining's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Caledonia Mining stock is traded in the USA on NYSE MKT Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Caledonia Mining. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For more information on how to buy Caledonia Stock please use our How to buy in Caledonia Stock guide.

Caledonia Stock Analysis Notes

About 50.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Caledonia Mining last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2025. The entity had 1:5 split on the 27th of June 2017. Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc primarily engages in the operation of a gold mine. Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Saint Helier, Jersey. Caledonia Mining is traded on AMEX Exchange in the United States. For more info on Caledonia Mining please contact the company at 44 1534 679800 or go to https://www.caledoniamining.com.

Caledonia Mining Investment Alerts

Caledonia Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Caledonia Mining is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
On 6th of June 2025 Caledonia Mining paid $ 0.14 per share dividend to its current shareholders
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Caledonia Mining Upcoming and Recent Events

22nd of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View

Caledonia Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Caledonia Mining's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2022-08-11
2022-06-300.670.750.0811 
2021-03-22
2020-12-310.670.750.0811 
2020-08-13
2020-06-300.460.37-0.0919 
View All Earnings Estimates

Caledonia Mining Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Caledonia Mining's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Caledonia Mining's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Caledonia Mining's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Caledonia Mining's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Caledonia Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 422.56 M.

Caledonia Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.13 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.37 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.37.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Capital Employed 0.19  0.20 
Return On Assets 0.05  0.05 
Return On Equity 0.08  0.09 

Management Efficiency

Caledonia Mining has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.1173 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.1173 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1276 %, meaning that it created $0.1276 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Caledonia Mining's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Caledonia Mining manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. Return On Tangible Assets is expected to rise to 0.05 this year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 0.20 this year. At this time, Caledonia Mining's Intangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Net Tangible Assets is expected to rise to about 194.8 M this year, although Tangible Asset Value will most likely fall to about 18.5 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 12.21  11.60 
Tangible Asset Value35.3 M18.5 M
Tangible Book Value Per Share 12.21  11.60 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 3.37  3.21 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.84  1.52 
Enterprise Value Multiple 3.37  3.21 
Price Fair Value 0.84  1.52 
Enterprise Value201.5 M211.6 M
Caledonia Mining showcases strong leadership that adapts to market changes and drives innovation. Our analysis explores how this adaptability affects the stock's investment appeal.
Dividend Yield
0.029
Operating Margin
0.3687
Profit Margin
0.1329
Forward Dividend Yield
0.029
Beta
0.283

Technical Drivers

As of the 22nd of July, Caledonia Mining shows the Mean Deviation of 3.03, risk adjusted performance of 0.1991, and Downside Deviation of 2.71. Caledonia Mining technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Caledonia Mining information ratio, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall to decide if Caledonia Mining is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 21.9 per share. Given that Caledonia Mining has jensen alpha of 0.8885, we suggest you to validate Caledonia Mining's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Caledonia Mining Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was twenty-nine with a total number of output elements of thirty-two. The Simple Moving Average indicator is calculated by adding the closing price of Caledonia Mining for a given number of time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. It is used to smooth out Caledonia Mining short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles.

Caledonia Mining Outstanding Bonds

Caledonia Mining issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Caledonia Mining uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Caledonia bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Caledonia Mining has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Caledonia Mining Predictive Daily Indicators

Caledonia Mining intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Caledonia Mining stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Caledonia Mining Corporate Filings

6K
16th of July 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
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6K
2nd of July 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
23rd of June 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
16th of June 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
12th of June 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
21st of May 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
20th of May 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify
6K
19th of May 2025
A report filed by foreign private issuers with SEC. A foreign private issuer is a non-U.S. company with securities traded on U.S. exchanges.
ViewVerify

Caledonia Mining Forecast Models

Caledonia Mining's time-series forecasting models are one of many Caledonia Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Caledonia Mining's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Caledonia Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Caledonia Mining prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Caledonia shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Caledonia Mining. By using and applying Caledonia Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Caledonia entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.23  0.25 
Operating Profit Margin 0.34  0.35 
Net Profit Margin 0.10  0.11 
Gross Profit Margin 0.44  0.46 

Current Caledonia Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Caledonia analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Caledonia analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
20.25Buy2Odds
Caledonia Mining current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Caledonia analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Caledonia stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Caledonia Mining, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Caledonia conference calls.
Caledonia Analyst Advice Details

Caledonia Stock Analysis Indicators

Caledonia Mining stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Caledonia Mining stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Caledonia Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Caledonia Mining stock analysis, traders can identify Caledonia Mining position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow-11 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.2 M
Total Stockholder Equity213.9 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-32.1 M
Tax Provision17.5 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y5.128
Property Plant And Equipment Net189.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.3 M
Cash4.3 M
Accounts PayableM
Net Debt20.8 M
50 Day M A18.377
Total Current Liabilities45.4 M
Other Operating Expenses130.1 M
Non Current Assets Total287 M
Forward Price Earnings9.9404
Non Currrent Assets Other97.3 M
When determining whether Caledonia Mining is a strong investment it is important to analyze Caledonia Mining's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Caledonia Mining's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Caledonia Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Caledonia Mining. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
For more information on how to buy Caledonia Stock please use our How to buy in Caledonia Stock guide.
You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caledonia Mining. If investors know Caledonia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Caledonia Mining listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.128
Dividend Share
0.56
Earnings Share
0.91
Revenue Per Share
9.922
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.459
The market value of Caledonia Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caledonia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caledonia Mining's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caledonia Mining's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Caledonia Mining's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caledonia Mining's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Caledonia Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caledonia Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caledonia Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.