Shoe Carnival Stock Analysis

SCVL Stock  USD 20.22  0.37  1.80%   
Shoe Carnival is undervalued with Real Value of 21.16 and Target Price of 22.5. The main objective of Shoe Carnival stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Shoe Carnival is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Shoe Carnival's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Shoe Carnival stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.

Shoe Stock Analysis Notes

About 35.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.86. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shoe Carnival has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of July 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 20th of July 2021. Shoe Carnival, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. Shoe Carnival, Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Evansville, Indiana. Shoe Carnival operates under Apparel Retail classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2600 people. To find out more about Shoe Carnival contact the company at 812 867 4034 or learn more at https://www.shoecarnival.com.

Shoe Carnival Quarterly Total Revenue

277.71 Million

Shoe Carnival Investment Alerts

Shoe Carnival has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Shoe Carnival Inc. a good long term investment - Lightning-fast growth - Jammu Links News

Shoe Carnival Upcoming and Recent Events

27th of March 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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22nd of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of January 2024
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of March 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
31st of October 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of January 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Shoe Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Shoe Carnival's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-03-25
2020-01-310.210.240.0314 
2019-03-26
2019-01-310.060.090.0350 
2017-08-30
2017-07-310.270.24-0.0311 
View All Earnings Estimates

Shoe Carnival Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Shoe Carnival's ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Shoe Carnival's performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Shoe Carnival's operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Shoe Carnival's stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Shoe Carnival Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Shoe Carnival stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Apparel Idea
Apparel
USA Equities from Apparel industry as classified by Fama & French

Shoe Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Royce & Associates, Lp2025-03-31
419.8 K
Hodges Capital Management Inc2025-03-31
384.7 K
Arnhold & S. Bleichroeder Advisers, Llc2025-03-31
354.7 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2025-03-31
337.5 K
Lsv Asset Management2025-03-31
336.3 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2025-03-31
324.8 K
Millennium Management Llc2025-03-31
321.8 K
Ubs Group Ag2025-03-31
278.3 K
Wasatch Advisors Lp2025-03-31
265.8 K
Blackrock Inc2025-03-31
2.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-03-31
1.8 M
Note, although Shoe Carnival's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Shoe Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Small-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 562.84 M.

Shoe Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.06 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.04 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.04.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.07 (0.07)
Return On Capital Employed 0.09 (0.08)
Return On Assets 0.07 (0.07)
Return On Equity 0.11 (0.12)

Management Efficiency

Shoe Carnival has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0449 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0449 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1052 %, meaning that it created $0.1052 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Shoe Carnival's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Shoe Carnival manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The value of Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to slide to -0.07. The value of Return On Capital Employed is expected to slide to -0.08. At this time, Shoe Carnival's Intangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to rise to 7.32 this year, although the value of Net Tangible Assets will most likely fall to about 351.3 M.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 23.90  1.52 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 21.73  1.52 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 7.71 (36.87)
Price Book Value Ratio 1.13  0.86 
Enterprise Value Multiple 7.71 (36.87)
Price Fair Value 1.13  0.86 
Enterprise Value63 M59.9 M
The leadership approach at Shoe Carnival's fosters a culture of excellence and accountability. Our analysis examines how this culture influences financial outcomes and stock valuation.
Dividend Yield
0.0321
Operating Margin
0.0431
Profit Margin
0.0558
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0321
Beta
1.4

Technical Drivers

As of the 20th of July, Shoe Carnival has the Semi Deviation of 2.28, coefficient of variation of 1561.57, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0667. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Shoe Carnival, as well as the relationship between them. Please validate Shoe Carnival variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if Shoe Carnival is priced more or less accurately, providing market reflects its prevalent price of 20.22 per share. Given that Shoe Carnival has jensen alpha of (0.08), we advise you to double-check Shoe Carnival's current market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Shoe Carnival Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was eleven with a total number of output elements of fifty. The Simple Moving Average indicator is calculated by adding the closing price of Shoe Carnival for a given number of time periods and then dividing this total by the number of time periods. It is used to smooth out Shoe Carnival short-term fluctuations and highlight longer-term trends or cycles.

Shoe Carnival Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Shoe Carnival insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Shoe Carnival's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Shoe Carnival insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Shoe Carnival Outstanding Bonds

Shoe Carnival issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Shoe Carnival uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Shoe bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Shoe Carnival has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Shoe Carnival Predictive Daily Indicators

Shoe Carnival intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Shoe Carnival stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Shoe Carnival Corporate Filings

18th of July 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
8K
27th of June 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
8K
13th of June 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
10Q
6th of June 2025
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify
8K
30th of May 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
14th of May 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
24th of April 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify
15th of April 2025
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Shoe Carnival Forecast Models

Shoe Carnival's time-series forecasting models are one of many Shoe Carnival's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Shoe Carnival's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Shoe Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Shoe Carnival prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Shoe shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Shoe Carnival. By using and applying Shoe Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Shoe entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.08 (0.05)
Operating Profit Margin 0.08 (0.03)
Net Loss 0.06 (0.03)
Gross Profit Margin 0.36  0.25 

Current Shoe Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Shoe analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Shoe analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
22.5Buy3Odds
Shoe Carnival current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Shoe analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Shoe stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Shoe Carnival, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Shoe conference calls.
Shoe Analyst Advice Details

Shoe Stock Analysis Indicators

Shoe Carnival stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Shoe Carnival stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Shoe Carnival shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Shoe Carnival stock analysis, traders can identify Shoe Carnival position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow99 M
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.5 M
Total Stockholder Equity649 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-77.7 M
Tax Provision23.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.46
Property Plant And Equipment Net516.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments123.1 M
Cash108.7 M
Accounts Payable52 M
Net Debt259.3 M
50 Day M A19.5074
Total Current Liabilities130.4 M
Other Operating Expenses1.1 B
Non Current Assets Total588 M
Forward Price Earnings10.846
Non Currrent Assets Other12.7 M
Stock Based Compensation7.7 M
When determining whether Shoe Carnival is a strong investment it is important to analyze Shoe Carnival's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Shoe Carnival's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Shoe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Shoe Carnival. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in real.
For more information on how to buy Shoe Stock please use our How to buy in Shoe Stock guide.
You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Is Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shoe Carnival. If investors know Shoe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shoe Carnival listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
Dividend Share
0.555
Earnings Share
2.39
Revenue Per Share
43.423
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.07)
The market value of Shoe Carnival is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shoe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shoe Carnival's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shoe Carnival's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shoe Carnival's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shoe Carnival's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shoe Carnival's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shoe Carnival is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shoe Carnival's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.