Warner Music Group Stock Analysis

WMG Stock  USD 32.82  0.42  1.30%   
Warner Music Group is undervalued with Real Value of 34.3 and Target Price of 35.07. The main objective of Warner Music stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Warner Music Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Warner Music's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Warner Music's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Warner Music's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Warner Music stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Warner Music is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Warner Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Warner Music's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Warner Music Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Warner Stock Analysis Notes

About 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.15. Warner Music Group last dividend was issued on the 21st of February 2024. Warner Music Group Corp. operates as a music entertainment company in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Warner Music operates under Entertainment classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 6200 people. For more information please call Robert Kyncl at 212 275 2000 or visit https://www.wmg.com.

Warner Music Quarterly Total Revenue

1.59 Billion

Warner Music Group Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Warner Music's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Warner Music Group or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Warner Music Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 4.26 B in debt. Warner Music Group has a current ratio of 0.62, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Warner Music until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Warner Music's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Warner Music Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Warner to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Warner Music's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from stockhead.com.au: Rise and Shine Everything you need to know before the ASX opens

Warner Music Group Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Warner Music to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Warner Music previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
8th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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21st of November 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of September 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Warner Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Warner Music's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2020-11-23
2020-09-300.060.0392-0.020834 
2023-08-08
2023-06-300.20.230.0315 
2023-02-09
2022-12-310.260.23-0.0311 
View All Earnings Estimates

Warner Music Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Warner Music stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Music and Video Idea
Music and Video
Music, video and movies
Entertainment Idea
Entertainment
USA Equities from Entertainment industry as classified by Fama & French

Warner Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Warner Music is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Warner Music Group backward and forwards among themselves. Warner Music's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Warner Music's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Capital Research & Mgmt Co - Division 32023-12-31
M
Harris Associates L.p.
M
Southeastern Asset Management Inc2023-12-31
2.8 M
Jackson Square Partners, Llc2023-12-31
2.8 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-12-31
2.1 M
Stephens Inv Mgmt Group Llc2023-12-31
1.7 M
Fairview Capital Investment Management2023-12-31
1.7 M
Point72 Asset Management, L.p.2023-09-30
1.5 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2023-12-31
1.3 M
Fmr Inc2023-12-31
14.5 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
11.7 M
Note, although Warner Music's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Warner Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 16.78 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Warner Music's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Warner Music's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Warner Profitablity

Warner Music's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Warner Music's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Warner Music is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Warner Music's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Warner Music's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Warner Music's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.07 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.19 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.19 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.30)(0.29)
Return On Capital Employed 0.75  0.79 
Return On Assets(0.30)(0.29)
Return On Equity(0.85)(0.81)

Management Efficiency

Warner Music Group has Return on Asset of 0.0688 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0688 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 1.1314 %, implying that it generated $1.1314 on every 100 dollars invested. Warner Music's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Warner Music manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The Warner Music's current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to 0.79, while Return On Tangible Assets are forecasted to increase to (0.29). At this time, Warner Music's Intangibles To Total Assets are most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The Warner Music's current Debt To Assets is estimated to increase to 0.50, while Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease to roughly 4.7 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 3.16  3.32 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 8.93  9.38 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 4.44  4.66 
Price Book Value Ratio 9.53  9.05 
Enterprise Value Multiple 4.44  4.66 
Price Fair Value 9.53  9.05 
Enterprise Value13.5 B13.9 B
The analysis of Warner Music's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Warner Music's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Warner Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.021
Forward Dividend Yield
0.021
Forward Dividend Rate
0.68
Beta
1.458

Technical Drivers

As of the 30th of April, Warner Music maintains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.29), mean deviation of 1.17, and Standard Deviation of 1.68. Relative to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Warner Music Group, as well as the relationship between them. Specifically, you can use this information to find out if the company will indeed mirror its model of past data patterns, or the prices will eventually revert. We have collected data for thirteen technical drivers for Warner Music Group, which can be compared to its peers. Please check out Warner Music Group market risk adjusted performance, information ratio, as well as the relationship between the Information Ratio and skewness to decide if Warner Music Group is priced fairly, providing market reflects its latest price of 32.82 per share. Given that Warner Music Group has information ratio of (0.14), we strongly advise you to confirm Warner Music Group's prevalent market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Warner Music Group Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
The output start index for this execution was fourteen with a total number of output elements of fourty-seven. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Warner Music middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Warner Music Group. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Warner Music Group Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Warner Music insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Warner Music's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Warner Music insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Warner Music Predictive Daily Indicators

Warner Music intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Warner Music stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Warner Music Corporate Filings

8K
8th of March 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
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F4
7th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
1st of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
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F4
20th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
14th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
12th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
13A
9th of February 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
10Q
8th of February 2024
Quarterly performance report mandated by Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), to be filed by publicly traded corporations
ViewVerify

Warner Music Forecast Models

Warner Music's time-series forecasting models are one of many Warner Music's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Warner Music's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Warner Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Warner Music prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Warner shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Warner Music. By using and applying Warner Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Warner entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.09  0.1 
Operating Profit Margin(0.47)(0.45)
Net Loss(0.40)(0.38)
Gross Profit Margin 0.43  0.38 

Current Warner Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Warner analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Warner analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
35.07Buy18Odds
Warner Music Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Warner analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Warner stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Warner Music Group, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Warner conference calls.
Warner Analyst Advice Details

Warner Stock Analysis Indicators

Warner Music Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Warner Music stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Warner Music shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Warner Music stock analysis, traders can identify Warner Music position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow584 M
Total Stockholder Equity307 M
Capital Lease Obligations296 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net703 M
Cash And Short Term Investments641 M
Cash641 M
50 Day M A33.7912
Net Interest Income-141 M
Total Current Liabilities3.5 B
Forward Price Earnings25.1889
Investments-300 M
Interest Expense141 M
Stock Based Compensation49 M
Long Term DebtB
Common Stock Shares Outstanding515.7 M
Tax Provision170 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.305
Accounts Payable300 M
Net Debt3.6 B
Other Operating Expenses5.2 B
Non Current Assets Total6.1 B
Liabilities And Stockholders Equity8.5 B
Non Currrent Assets Other225 M
When determining whether Warner Music Group is a strong investment it is important to analyze Warner Music's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Warner Music's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Warner Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Warner Music Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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When running Warner Music's price analysis, check to measure Warner Music's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Warner Music is operating at the current time. Most of Warner Music's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Warner Music's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Warner Music's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Warner Music to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Warner Music's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Warner Music. If investors know Warner will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Warner Music listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.305
Dividend Share
0.66
Earnings Share
0.89
Revenue Per Share
12.202
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.175
The market value of Warner Music Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Warner that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Warner Music's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Warner Music's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Warner Music's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Warner Music's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Warner Music's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Warner Music is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Warner Music's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.