Ardagh Metal Packaging Stock Today

AMBP Stock  USD 3.98  0.07  1.73%   

Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest

Odds Of Distress

Over 56

 
High
 
Low
Above Average
Ardagh Metal is selling at 3.98 as of the 30th of April 2024; that is -1.73 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 3.95. Ardagh Metal has over 56 % chance of experiencing financial distress in the next 2 years of operation and did not have a very good performance during the last 90 trading days. Equity ratings for Ardagh Metal Packaging are calculated daily based on our scoring framework. The performance scores are derived for the period starting the 31st of March 2024 and ending today, the 30th of April 2024. Click here to learn more.
Business Domain
Materials
IPO Date
5th of August 2021
Category
Consumer Cyclical
Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. supplies metal beverage cans in Europe, the United States, and Brazil. Ardagh Metal Packaging S.A. is a subsidiary of Ardagh Group S.A. Ardagh Metal is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. The company has 597.65 M outstanding shares of which 3.7 M shares are presently shorted by private and institutional investors with about 2.83 trading days to cover. More on Ardagh Metal Packaging

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Follow Valuation Options Odds of Bankruptcy
Check how we calculate scores

Ardagh Stock Highlights

Most reasonable investors view market volatility as an opportunity to invest at a favorable price or to sell short against a bearish trend. Ardagh Metal's investment highlights are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Ardagh Metal or challenge it. These highlights can help you better understand the position you are entering and avoid costly mistakes.
CEOOliver Graham
Thematic IdeaShipping Containers (View all Themes)
Business ConcentrationDiversified Metals & Mining, Packaging & Containers, Consumer Cyclical, NYSE Composite, Shipping Containers, Materials, Metals & Mining, Packaging & Containers, Consumer Cyclical (View all Sectors)
Average Analyst Recommendation
Analysts covering Ardagh Metal report their recommendations after researching Ardagh Metal's financial statements, talking to executives and customers, or listening in on Ardagh Metal's conference calls. The current trade recommendation is based on an ongoing consensus estimate among financial analysts covering Ardagh Metal Packaging. The Ardagh consensus assessment is calculated by taking the average forecast from all of the analysts covering Ardagh Metal.
Financial Strength
Based on the analysis of Ardagh Metal's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Ardagh Metal Packaging may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average likelihood of going through some form of financial trouble next quarter. Financial strength of Ardagh Metal Packaging is based on its profitability, leverage, liquidity, source of funds, and operating efficiency.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Asset Turnover0.650.8488
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.140.0842
Way Up
Slightly volatile
Net DebtB3.3 B
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities1.4 B1.5 B
Notably Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities TotalBB
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets5.5 B5.7 B
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets1.5 B1.5 B
Sufficiently Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities414.7 M616 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Ardagh Metal's financial strength is of vital concern to both outside investors and internal stakeholders. Efficiency and cost control are keys to Ardagh Metal's success, along with its ability to generate sufficient cash flow to pay bills, repay debt, and make a consistent year-to-year profit.
Financial leverage usually refers to the use of borrowed funds to amplify returns from an investment. In general, analyzing the relationship between debt to total assets helps investors to understand Ardagh Metal's financial leverage. It provides some insight into what part of Ardagh Metal's total assets is financed by creditors.
By using current balance sheet information, investors can analyze the liability, assets, and equity on Ardagh Metal's books and decide whether to invest or hold. Statistics such as return on equity (ROE), debt to equity (D/E) help investors determine how Ardagh Metal deploys its capital and how much of that capital is borrowed.
Liquidity
Ardagh Metal cash flow analysis is essential to understand how it generates and spends money over a specific period. It can also help you figure out where your money is going and how much cash you have available at a given moment. The company currently holds 3.73 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 6.21, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Ardagh Metal Packaging has a current ratio of 1.43, which is within standard range for the sector. Debt can assist Ardagh Metal until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ardagh Metal's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ardagh Metal Packaging sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ardagh to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ardagh Metal's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Change To Operating Activities

(172.71 Million)
Ardagh Metal Packaging (AMBP) is traded on New York Stock Exchange in USA. It is located in 56, rue Charles Martel, Luxembourg City, Luxembourg, 2134 and employs 6,300 people. Ardagh Metal is listed under Diversified Metals & Mining category by Fama And French industry classification. The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 2.42 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Ardagh Metal's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Ardagh Metal's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities. Ardagh Metal Packaging conducts business under Metals & Mining sector and is part of Materials industry. The entity has 597.65 M outstanding shares of which 3.7 M shares are presently shorted by private and institutional investors with about 2.83 trading days to cover. Ardagh Metal Packaging currently holds about 583 M in cash with 616 M of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.98.
Check Ardagh Metal Probability Of Bankruptcy
Ownership Allocation
Ardagh Metal Packaging retains a total of 597.65 Million outstanding shares. Ardagh Metal Packaging shows majority of its outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a corporate executive, director, member of the board or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. 76.04 percent of Ardagh Metal Packaging outstanding shares that are owned by insiders signifies that they have been buying or selling the stock in recent months in anticipation of some upcoming event. Remember, it does not matter who owns the company or if the company is currently losing money. If the true value of the company is more than the market pays for it currently, you can still have a good investment opportunity.
Check Ardagh Ownership Details

Ardagh Stock Price Odds Analysis

In regard to a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ardagh Metal jumping above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1%. The Ardagh Metal Packaging probability density function shows the probability of Ardagh Metal stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ardagh Metal has a beta of 0.0172. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Ardagh Metal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ardagh Metal Packaging will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, ardagh Metal Packaging has an alpha of 0.1911, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
  Odds Below 3.98HorizonTargetOdds Above 3.98
99.50%90 days
 3.98 
0.50%
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ardagh Metal to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ardagh Metal Packaging probability density function shows the probability of Ardagh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .

Ardagh Stock Institutional Holders

Institutional Holdings refers to the ownership stake in Ardagh Metal that is held by large financial organizations, pension funds or endowments. Institutions may purchase large blocks of Ardagh Metal's outstanding shares and can exert considerable influence upon its management. Institutional holders may also work to push the share price higher once they own the stock. Extensive social media coverage, TV shows, articles in high-profile magazines, and presentations at investor conferences help move the stock higher, increasing Ardagh Metal's value.
InstituionRecorded OnShares
Bw Gestao De Investimentos Ltda2023-12-31
2.8 M
Brahman Capital Corp2023-09-30
2.7 M
Newtyn Management Llc2023-12-31
2.5 M
Solas Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
2.4 M
Brightline Capital Management Llc2023-12-31
2.2 M
Gilman Hill Asset Management, Llc2023-12-31
1.8 M
Ing Groep Nv2023-12-31
1.8 M
Keeley-teton Advisors, Llc2023-12-31
1.7 M
State Street Corporation2023-12-31
1.7 M
Canyon Capital Advisors Llc2023-12-31
10.2 M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2023-12-31
6.3 M
View Ardagh Metal Diagnostics

Ardagh Metal Historical Income Statement

Ardagh Metal Packaging Income Statement is one of the three primary financial statements used for reporting Ardagh's overall financial performance over a current year or for a given accounting period. An Income Statement sometimes referred to as the statement of Ardagh Metal Packaging revenue and expense. Ardagh Metal Income Statement primarily focuses on the company's revenues and expenses during a particular period.
At this time, Ardagh Metal's EBIT is relatively stable compared to the past year. As of 04/30/2024, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 272.9 M, though Tax Provision is likely to grow to (11.4 M). View More Fundamentals

Ardagh Stock Against Markets

Picking the right benchmark for Ardagh Metal stock is fundamental to making educated investment choices. Many naive investors compare their positions with the S&P 500 or with the Nasdaq. But these benchmarks are not all-inclusive and generally should be used only for large-capitalization equities or stock offerings from large companies. When the price of a selected benchmark declines in a down market, there may be an uptick in Ardagh Metal stock price where buyers come in believing the asset is cheap. The opposite is true when the market is bullish; so, accurately picking the benchmark for Ardagh Metal is critical whether you are bullish or bearish towards Ardagh Metal Packaging at a given time. Please also check how Ardagh Metal's historical prices are related to one of the top price index indicators.

Be your own money manager

Our tools can tell you how much better you can do entering a position in Ardagh Metal without increasing your portfolio risk or giving up the expected return. As an individual investor, you need to find a reliable way to track all your investment portfolios. However, your requirements will often be based on how much of the process you decide to do yourself. In addition to allowing all investors analytical transparency into all their portfolios, our tools can evaluate risk-adjusted returns of your individual positions relative to your overall portfolio.

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Ardagh Metal Corporate Management

Elected by the shareholders, the Ardagh Metal's board of directors comprises two types of representatives: Ardagh Metal inside directors who are chosen from within the company, and outside directors, selected externally and held independent of Ardagh. The board's role is to monitor Ardagh Metal's management team and ensure that shareholders' interests are well served. Ardagh Metal's inside directors are responsible for reviewing and approving budgets prepared by upper management to implement core corporate initiatives and projects. On the other hand, Ardagh Metal's outside directors are responsible for providing unbiased perspectives on the board's policies.
David MatthewsDirectorProfile
Damien BrienNon-Executive Independent DirectorProfile
Elizabeth MarcellinoNon-Executive DirectorProfile
Abigail BluntNon-Executive DirectorProfile
Edward WhiteNon-Executive DirectorProfile
Yves ElsenNon-Executive Independent DirectorProfile

How to buy Ardagh Stock?

Before investing in Ardagh Metal, you must ensure you fully understand your financial goals and how diversified (or not) your overall investments are now. Then, after you clearly understand your investment objectives, consider investing in Ardagh Metal. To buy Ardagh Metal stock, you can follow these steps:
  • Choose a brokerage firm: You need to select a brokerage firm to buy shares of Ardagh Metal. Some popular options include Charles Schwab, Fidelity, TD Ameritrade, and Robinhood.
  • Open an account: Once you have chosen a brokerage firm, you will need to open an account. You will be required to provide personal information, such as your name, address, and Social Security number.
  • Fund your account: You will need to deposit funds into your brokerage account to purchase Ardagh Metal stock. You can do this by transferring funds from your bank account or other investment accounts.
  • Place your order: Once you have located Ardagh Metal Packaging stock in your brokerage account, you can place your order to buy it. You will need to specify the number of shares you want to buy and the price you are willing to pay.
  • Monitor your investment: After you have purchased Ardagh Metal Packaging stock, you should monitor your investment to track its performance and make informed decisions about buying, selling, or holding the stock
It's important to note that investing in stocks, such as Ardagh Metal Packaging, carries risks, and you should carefully consider your investment goals and risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. Also, remember various factors, including economic indicators, change in net worth, political events, company-specific news, and investor sentiment, can influence the stock market. These factors can cause fluctuations in stock prices and lead to market volatility affecting your buy or sell decision. However, volatility can also present opportunities for investors to make gains by buying stocks when prices are low and selling when they are high. It's important for investors to have a long-term perspective and a well-diversified portfolio to manage the impact of stock market volatility on their investments. For more information on how to buy Ardagh Stock please use our How to Invest in Ardagh Metal guide.

Already Invested in Ardagh Metal Packaging?

The danger of trading Ardagh Metal Packaging is mainly related to its market volatility and Company specific events. As an investor, you must understand the concept of risk-adjusted return before you start trading. The most common way to measure the risk of Ardagh Metal is by using the Sharpe ratio. The ratio expresses how much excess return you acquire for the extra volatility you endure for holding a more risker asset than Ardagh Metal. The Sharpe ratio is calculated by using standard deviation and excess return to determine reward per unit of risk. To understand how volatile Ardagh Metal Packaging is, you must compare it to a benchmark. Traditionally, the risk-free rate of return is the rate of return on the shortest-dated U.S. Treasury, such as a 3-year bond.
When determining whether Ardagh Metal Packaging is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Ardagh Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Ardagh Metal Packaging Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Ardagh Metal Packaging Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Ardagh Metal Packaging. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Note that the Ardagh Metal Packaging information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Ardagh Metal's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..

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When running Ardagh Metal's price analysis, check to measure Ardagh Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ardagh Metal is operating at the current time. Most of Ardagh Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ardagh Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ardagh Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ardagh Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ardagh Metal's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ardagh Metal. If investors know Ardagh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ardagh Metal listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Dividend Share
0.4
Earnings Share
(0.12)
Revenue Per Share
8.069
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.009
The market value of Ardagh Metal Packaging is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ardagh that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ardagh Metal's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ardagh Metal's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ardagh Metal's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ardagh Metal's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ardagh Metal's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ardagh Metal is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ardagh Metal's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.