Is Air T Inc outlook positive for August 2020?

This perspective is geared to all Air T private investors as well as to investors considering exiting their position in the firm. I will break down why Air T private investors should not consider a stake in the firm. Air T Book Value per Share is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Air T reported Book Value per Share of 8.60 in 2019. Current Ratio is likely to grow to 2.10 in 2020, whereas Free Cash Flow is likely to drop (33.9 M) in 2020. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for thirty-five available fundamental indicators for Air T Inc, which can be compared to its rivals. To make sure the equity is not overpriced, please confirm all Air T Inc financials, including its price to sales, book value per share, current asset, as well as the relationship between the cash and equivalents and beta . Given that Air T Inc has a number of shares shorted of 1.12 K, we suggest you to validate Air T Inc prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself down the road. Use Air T to protect your portfolios against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Air T to be traded at $11.16 in 30 days.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.1876, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. Let's try to break down what Air T's beta means in this case. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Air T are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Air T is likely to outperform the market. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Air T Inc historical returns, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity current trending patterns. Our philosophy towards foreseeing any stock's future performance is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Air T Inc exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate its performance. Air T Inc has an expected return of -0.0291%. Please be advised to confirm Air T Inc maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the expected short fall and rate of daily change to decide if Air T Inc stock performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air T Inc. Regardless of method or technology, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Predictive Modules for Air T

Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air T's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Air T. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Air T's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Air T's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Air T Inc.

How important is Air T's Liquidity

Air T financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Air T Inc ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Air T financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Air T's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Air T's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Air T's total debt and its cash.

Air T Gross Profit

Air T Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Air T previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Air T Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Air T's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

A Deeper Perspective

Air T makes 8.33 x book value per share. The firm reported previous year revenue of 236.78 M. Net Loss for the year was (409 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 52.57 M. Air T Inc exhibits above-average semi-deviation of 5.11 for your current time horizon. We encourage investors to investigate Air T Inc individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicagtors are consistent with their estimates about Air T future systematic risk.
Air T Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization EBITDA is comparatively stable at the moment. Further, Air T Average Assets is comparatively stable at the moment.

Will Air T reset impact its fundamentals?

Maximum drawdown is down to 25.98 as of today. Air T Inc exhibits above-average semi-deviation of 5.11 for your current time horizon. We encourage investors to investigate Air T Inc individually to make sure intended market timing strategies and available technical indicagtors are consistent with their estimates about Air T future systematic risk.

The Bottom Line

Whereas many other companies in integrated freight & logistics industry are either recovering or due for a correction, Air T may not be as strong as the others in terms of longer-term growth potentials. To conclude, as of 12th of July 2020, our present 30 days buy or sell advice on the firm is Strong Sell. We believe Air T is currently overvalued with low probability of financial unrest for the next two years. With a less-than optimistic outlook for your 30 days horizon, it may be a good time to short some or all of your Air T holdings as it seems the potential growth was already fully factored into the current price. Please use our equity advice module to run different scenarios to ensure your current risk level and investment horizon are fully reflective of your current investing preferences in regards to Air T.

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