California First National Stock Technical Analysis

CFNB Stock  USD 27.64  0.62  2.29%   
As of the 6th of February, California First shows the Downside Deviation of 1.25, risk adjusted performance of 0.1175, and Mean Deviation of 1.04. California First National technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to interpolate nineteen technical drivers for California First National, which can be compared to its peers.

California First Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as California, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to California
  
California First's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
It's important to distinguish between California First's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding California First should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, California First's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

California First 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to California First's otc stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of California First.
0.00
11/08/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
02/06/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in California First on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding California First National or generate 0.0% return on investment in California First over 90 days. California First is related to or competes with First Northern, Malaga Financial, City Of, Pacific Current, Premier Miton, TISCO Financial, and Exchange Bank. California First Leasing Corporation provides loans and lease financing for universities, businesses, and other commerci... More

California First Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure California First's otc stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess California First National upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

California First Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for California First's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as California First's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use California First historical prices to predict the future California First's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.1927.6430.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.9526.3928.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.4627.9130.36
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.7625.5030.23
Details

California First February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators

California First National Backtested Returns

California First appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. California First National secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.14, which signifies that the company had a 0.14 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for California First National, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of California First's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1175, downside deviation of 1.25, and Mean Deviation of 1.04 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, California First holds a performance score of 11. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.5, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning California First are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, California First is likely to outperform the market. Please check California First's jensen alpha, potential upside, accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and expected short fall , to make a quick decision on whether California First's price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

California First National has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between California First time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of California First National price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current California First price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.3
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.8
California First technical otc stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, otc market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of California First technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of California First trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

California First National Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of California First National volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About California First Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of California First National on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of California First National based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this otc stock, focuses on California First National price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding California First National. By analyzing California First's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of California First's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to California First specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.

California First February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of California help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for California from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze California charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

California First February 6, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as California stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for California OTC Stock analysis

When running California First's price analysis, check to measure California First's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy California First is operating at the current time. Most of California First's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of California First's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move California First's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of California First to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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