Commerce Stock Technical Analysis

CMRC Stock   3.10  0.08  2.52%   
As of the 29th of January, Commerce shows the Mean Deviation of 2.06, risk adjusted performance of (0.16), and Standard Deviation of 2.87. Commerce technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Commerce Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Commerce, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to CommerceCommerce's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.
Will IT Consulting & Other Services sector continue expanding? Could Commerce diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commerce. Projected growth potential of Commerce fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Commerce data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(0.17)
Revenue Per Share
4.273
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.028
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Return On Equity
(0.37)
Understanding Commerce requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Commerce's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Commerce's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Commerce's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Commerce's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Commerce should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Commerce's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.

Commerce 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Commerce's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Commerce.
0.00
10/31/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
01/29/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Commerce on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Commerce or generate 0.0% return on investment in Commerce over 90 days. Commerce is related to or competes with CS Disco, Rimini Street, EGain, Materialise, Rackspace Technology, Forge Global, and Bakkt Holdings. Commerce is entity of United States. It is traded as Stock on NASDAQ exchange. More

Commerce Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Commerce's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Commerce upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Commerce Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Commerce's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Commerce's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Commerce historical prices to predict the future Commerce's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.065.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.783.696.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.062.885.79
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.070.080.09
Details

Commerce January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Commerce Backtested Returns

Commerce secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.21, which signifies that the company had a -0.21 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Commerce exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Commerce's Standard Deviation of 2.87, risk adjusted performance of (0.16), and Mean Deviation of 2.06 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.26, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Commerce will likely underperform. At this point, Commerce has a negative expected return of -0.62%. Please make sure to confirm Commerce's kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if Commerce performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.26  

Poor predictability

Commerce has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Commerce time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Commerce price movement. The serial correlation of 0.26 indicates that nearly 26.0% of current Commerce price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.26
Spearman Rank Test0.4
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.16
Commerce technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Commerce technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Commerce trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Commerce Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Normalized Average True Range is used to analyze tradable apportunities for Commerce across different markets.

About Commerce Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Commerce on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Commerce based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Commerce price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Commerce. By analyzing Commerce's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Commerce's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Commerce specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0025860.002299
Price To Sales Ratio1.641.56

Commerce January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Commerce help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Commerce from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Commerce charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Commerce January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Commerce stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

Complementary Tools for Commerce Stock analysis

When running Commerce's price analysis, check to measure Commerce's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commerce is operating at the current time. Most of Commerce's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commerce's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commerce's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commerce to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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