Erasca Inc Stock Technical Analysis
| ERAS Stock | USD 10.31 0.18 1.78% |
As of the 29th of January, Erasca shows the Downside Deviation of 3.86, mean deviation of 5.12, and Semi Deviation of 2.59. Erasca Inc technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Erasca Inc coefficient of variation, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and semi variance to decide if Erasca Inc is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 10.31 per share. Given that Erasca has jensen alpha of 2.7, we urge you to verify Erasca Inc's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.
Erasca Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Erasca, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to ErascaErasca's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will Erasca introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Erasca. Projected growth potential of Erasca fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Erasca listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Erasca Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Erasca that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Erasca's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Erasca's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Erasca's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Erasca's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Erasca's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Erasca should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Erasca's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.
Erasca 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Erasca's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Erasca.
| 10/31/2025 |
| 01/29/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Erasca on October 31, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Erasca Inc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Erasca over 90 days. Erasca is related to or competes with Astria Therapeutics, ArriVent BioPharma, MoonLake Immunotherapeuti, Iovance Biotherapeutics, MeiraGTx Holdings, MBX Biosciences, and CytomX Therapeutics. Erasca, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering, developing, and commercializing therap... More
Erasca Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Erasca's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Erasca Inc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.3321 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 50.26 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 15.04 |
Erasca Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Erasca's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Erasca's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Erasca historical prices to predict the future Erasca's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2558 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 2.7 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 2.11 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.6764 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.85) |
Erasca January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2558 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.84) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 294.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.86 | |||
| Variance | 61.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.3321 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 2.7 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 2.11 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.6764 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.85) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 50.26 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 15.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.43) | |||
| Skewness | 2.53 | |||
| Kurtosis | 10.13 |
Erasca Inc Backtested Returns
Erasca is unstable given 3 months investment horizon. Erasca Inc secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.34, which denotes the company had a 0.34 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We were able to analyze twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 2.67% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Erasca Mean Deviation of 5.12, downside deviation of 3.86, and Semi Deviation of 2.59 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Erasca holds a performance score of 26 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.69, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Erasca are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Erasca is likely to outperform the market. Use Erasca coefficient of variation, semi variance, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to analyze future returns on Erasca.
Auto-correlation | 0.88 |
Very good predictability
Erasca Inc has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Erasca time series from 31st of October 2025 to 15th of December 2025 and 15th of December 2025 to 29th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Erasca Inc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current Erasca price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.88 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.88 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 8.34 |
Erasca technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Erasca Inc Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Erasca Inc volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Erasca Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Erasca Inc on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Erasca Inc based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Erasca Inc price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Erasca Inc. By analyzing Erasca's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Erasca's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Erasca specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Erasca January 29, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Erasca help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Erasca from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Erasca charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.2558 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (3.84) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 5.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.59 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 3.86 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 294.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.86 | |||
| Variance | 61.76 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.3321 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 2.7 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 2.11 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.6764 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (3.85) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 50.26 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 15.04 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 6.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (6.43) | |||
| Skewness | 2.53 | |||
| Kurtosis | 10.13 |
Erasca January 29, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Erasca stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 204,017 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.38 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | ||
| Day Median Price | 10.35 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 10.33 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.06 |
Additional Tools for Erasca Stock Analysis
When running Erasca's price analysis, check to measure Erasca's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Erasca is operating at the current time. Most of Erasca's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Erasca's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Erasca's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Erasca to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.