First State Financial Stock Technical Analysis
| FSTF Stock | USD 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
As of the 22nd of January, First State shows the Downside Deviation of 51.78, mean deviation of 13.8, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1103.72. First State Financial technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm First State Financial variance, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and skewness to decide if First State Financial is priced favorably, providing market reflects its regular price of 0.021 per share. As First State Financial appears to be a penny stock we also advise to verify its total risk alpha numbers.
First State Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst |
First State 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First State's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First State.
| 10/24/2025 |
| 01/22/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First State on October 24, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First State Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in First State over 90 days. First State is related to or competes with Endurance. First State Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for First State Bank, which provides retail and c... More
First State Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First State's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First State Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 51.78 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0871 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 188.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (44.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 59.34 |
First State Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First State's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First State's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First State historical prices to predict the future First State's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0767 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 2.75 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.11) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0506 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (7.33) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First State's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First State January 22, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0767 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (7.32) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 13.8 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 15.67 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 51.78 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1103.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 30.05 | |||
| Variance | 902.77 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0871 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 2.75 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.11) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0506 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (7.33) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 188.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (44.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 59.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2681.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 245.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (63.86) | |||
| Skewness | 2.11 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.18 |
First State Financial Backtested Returns
First State is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. First State Financial secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0906, which denotes the company had a 0.0906 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We were able to interpolate and analyze data for twenty-five different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 2.72% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use First State Mean Deviation of 13.8, downside deviation of 51.78, and Coefficient Of Variation of 1103.72 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. First State holds a performance score of 7 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.37, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First State are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First State is likely to outperform the market. Use First State value at risk, as well as the relationship between the skewness and relative strength index , to analyze future returns on First State.
Auto-correlation | -0.17 |
Insignificant reverse predictability
First State Financial has insignificant reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First State time series from 24th of October 2025 to 8th of December 2025 and 8th of December 2025 to 22nd of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First State Financial price movement. The serial correlation of -0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current First State price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.17 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.58 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
First State technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First State Financial Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First State Financial volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First State Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First State Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First State Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First State Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First State Financial. By analyzing First State's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First State's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First State specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
First State January 22, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0767 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (7.32) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 13.8 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 15.67 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 51.78 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1103.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 30.05 | |||
| Variance | 902.77 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0871 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 2.75 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (1.11) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0506 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (7.33) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 188.76 | |||
| Value At Risk | (44.68) | |||
| Potential Upside | 59.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2681.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 245.49 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (63.86) | |||
| Skewness | 2.11 | |||
| Kurtosis | 8.18 |
First State January 22, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.00 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.00 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 0.02 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 0.02 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.00 |
Complementary Tools for First Pink Sheet analysis
When running First State's price analysis, check to measure First State's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First State is operating at the current time. Most of First State's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First State's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First State's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First State to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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