Origin Bancorp Stock Technical Analysis
| OBK Stock | 45.63 0.15 0.33% |
As of the 6th of February, Origin Bancorp holds the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.212, semi deviation of 0.7977, and Coefficient Of Variation of 363.57. Compared to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model allows you to check existing technical drivers of Origin Bancorp, as well as the relationship between them.
Origin Bancorp Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Origin, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to OriginOrigin Bancorp's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Origin Bancorp Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Consensus | # of Analysts | |
| 48.2 | Strong Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most Origin analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Origin stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Origin Bancorp, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Origin conference calls.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Bancorp. Anticipated expansion of Origin directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Origin Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.106 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 2.45 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.202 |
Origin Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Origin's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Origin Bancorp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Origin Bancorp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Origin Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Origin Bancorp 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Origin Bancorp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Origin Bancorp.
| 11/08/2025 |
| 02/06/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Origin Bancorp on November 8, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Origin Bancorp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Origin Bancorp over 90 days. Origin Bancorp is related to or competes with OceanFirst Financial, Peoples Bancorp, Republic Bancorp, Bank First, Dime Community, Tompkins Financial, and Old Second. Origin Bancorp is entity of United States More
Origin Bancorp Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Origin Bancorp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Origin Bancorp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2463 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.57 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.83) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.15 |
Origin Bancorp Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Origin Bancorp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Origin Bancorp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Origin Bancorp historical prices to predict the future Origin Bancorp's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.212 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3852 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.348 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3032 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4119 |
Origin Bancorp February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.212 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4219 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7977 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 363.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.46 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2463 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3852 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.348 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3032 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4119 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.57 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.83) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6363 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5815 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.78 |
Origin Bancorp Backtested Returns
Origin Bancorp appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Origin Bancorp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.28, which implies the firm had a 0.28 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Origin Bancorp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Origin Bancorp's Semi Deviation of 0.7977, coefficient of variation of 363.57, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.212 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Origin Bancorp holds a performance score of 22. The company holds a Beta of 1.02, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Origin Bancorp returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Origin Bancorp is expected to follow. Please check Origin Bancorp's total risk alpha, expected short fall, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Origin Bancorp's historical price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.86 |
Very good predictability
Origin Bancorp has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Origin Bancorp time series from 8th of November 2025 to 23rd of December 2025 and 23rd of December 2025 to 6th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Origin Bancorp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.86 indicates that approximately 86.0% of current Origin Bancorp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.86 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.91 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 5.7 |
Origin Bancorp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Origin Bancorp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was fifty with a total number of output elements of eleven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Origin Bancorp volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Origin Bancorp Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Origin Bancorp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Origin Bancorp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Origin Bancorp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Origin Bancorp. By analyzing Origin Bancorp's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Origin Bancorp specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0169 | 0.0181 | 0.016 | 0.00992 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.9 | 1.68 | 1.93 | 3.18 |
Origin Bancorp February 6, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Origin help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Origin from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Origin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.212 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.4219 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7977 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 363.57 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.46 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.2463 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3852 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.348 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.3032 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4119 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 8.57 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.83) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.62 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6363 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) | |||
| Skewness | 0.5815 | |||
| Kurtosis | 1.78 |
Origin Bancorp February 6, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Origin stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5,737 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.14 | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.00 | ||
| Day Median Price | 45.49 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 45.54 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.22 |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Origin Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics. For more information on how to buy Origin Stock please use our How to buy in Origin Stock guide.You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Origin Bancorp. Anticipated expansion of Origin directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Origin Bancorp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.106 | Dividend Share 0.6 | Earnings Share 2.45 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.202 |
Origin Bancorp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Origin's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Origin Bancorp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Origin Bancorp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Origin Bancorp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Origin Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.