Alcoa Valuation

AAI Stock   45.83  1.29  2.90%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Alcoa shows a prevailing Real Value of USD44.49 per share. The current price of the firm is USD45.83. Our model approximates the value of Alcoa from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.15, and Profit Margin of 0.07 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Price Book
1.2616
Enterprise Value
13.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
4.0333
Price Sales
0.9369
Forward PE
9.6061
Fairly Valued
Today
45.83
Please note that Alcoa's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Alcoa is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Alcoa's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Alcoa's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 45.83, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  45.83 Real  44.49 Hype  45.99 Naive  42.15
The intrinsic value of Alcoa's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Alcoa's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
44.48
Real Value
46.93
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Alcoa helps investors to forecast how Alcoa stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Alcoa more accurately as focusing exclusively on Alcoa's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.500.500.50
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.5545.9948.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
39.7142.1544.60
Details

Alcoa Cash

1.19 Billion

Alcoa Total Value Analysis

Alcoa is presently forecasted to have takeover price of 13.41 B with market capitalization of 11.87 B, debt of 2.82 B, and cash on hands of 1.14 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Alcoa fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
13.41 B
11.87 B
2.82 B
1.14 B

Alcoa Investor Information

The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Alcoa last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2025. Based on the key measurements obtained from Alcoa's financial statements, Alcoa is performing exceptionally good at the present time. It has a great likelihood to report excellent financial results in August.

Alcoa Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Alcoa has an asset utilization ratio of 84.58 percent. This implies that the Company is making USD0.85 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Alcoa is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Alcoa Ownership Allocation

Alcoa holds a total of 258.9 Million outstanding shares. Almost 96.2 percent of Alcoa outstanding shares are held by general public with 3.8 % by other corporate entities. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Alcoa Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 11.89 B. Net Income was 24 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.65 B.

About Alcoa Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Alcoa's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Alcoa based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Alcoa. We calculate exposure to Alcoa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Alcoa's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.9 B1.4 B

Additional Tools for Alcoa Stock Analysis

When running Alcoa's price analysis, check to measure Alcoa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alcoa is operating at the current time. Most of Alcoa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alcoa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alcoa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alcoa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.