Birks Valuation

BGI Stock  USD 0.88  0.01  1.15%   
Today, the firm appears to be overvalued. Birks Group shows a prevailing Real Value of $0.82 per share. The current price of the firm is $0.88. Our model approximates the value of Birks Group from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -5.89, profit margin of (0.04) %, and Current Valuation of 122.93 M as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Birks' valuation include:
Price Book
47.528
Enterprise Value
122.9 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
21.8263
Price Sales
0.099
Enterprise Value Revenue
0.9462
Overvalued
Today
0.88
Please note that Birks' price fluctuation is extremely dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Birks Group is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Birks' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Birks is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Birks Stock. However, Birks' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  0.88 Real  0.82 Hype  0.9 Naive  0.92
The intrinsic value of Birks' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Birks' stock price.
0.82
Real Value
5.28
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Birks Group helps investors to forecast how Birks stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Birks more accurately as focusing exclusively on Birks' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.810.890.97
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.905.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.020.925.38
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Birks Group, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Birks Cash

1.92 Million

Birks Valuation Trend

Birks' real value analysis enables investors to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Birks' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Birks Total Value Analysis

Birks Group is currently forecasted to have company total value of 122.93 M with market capitalization of 17.57 M, debt of 156.62 M, and cash on hands of 1.26 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Birks fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
122.93 M
17.57 M
156.62 M
1.26 M

Birks Investor Information

About 53.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 103.2. Birks Group recorded a loss per share of 0.23. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators related to Birks' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, Birks Group may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average risk of going through some form of financial straits next quarter.

Birks Asset Utilization

The concept of asset utilization usually refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. The recent return on assets of Birks signifies not a very effective usage of assets in June.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Birks Ownership Allocation

The market capitalization of Birks Group is $17.57 Million. Birks Group retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Note, that even with negative profits, if the true value of the firm is larger than the current market value, you may still be able to generate positive returns on investment in this company.

Birks Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 185.28 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (4.63 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 68.75 M.

About Birks Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Birks Stock, attempts to find the value of Birks Group based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Birks's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Birks's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Birks. We calculate exposure to Birks's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Birks's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit66.2 M93.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.06)(0.06)
Operating Profit Margin(0.02)(0.02)
Net Loss(0.05)(0.05)
Gross Profit Margin 0.42  0.46 

Birks Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.1 M

Birks Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Birks Group and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Birks we look at many different elements of the entity such as Birks's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Birks, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Birks' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Birks' worth.

Complementary Tools for Birks Stock analysis

When running Birks' price analysis, check to measure Birks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Birks is operating at the current time. Most of Birks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Birks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Birks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Birks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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