CF Industries Valuation

CF Stock  USD 80.60  0.98  1.23%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. CF Industries Holdings owns a latest Real Value of $66.39 per share. The recent price of the firm is $80.6. Our model approximates the value of CF Industries Holdings from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Shares Owned By Insiders of 0.69 %, shares outstanding of 166.47 M, and Return On Asset of 0.0775 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued

Today

80.60
Please note that CF Industries' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of CF Industries Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing CF Industries' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the CF Industries stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of CF Industries Holdings. Since CF Industries is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of CF Industries Stock. However, CF Industries' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  80.6 Real  66.39 Hype  80.6 Naive  84.76
The real value of CF Industries Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of CF Industries Holdings Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on CF Industries' financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of CF Industries' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
66.39
Real Value
88.66
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of CF Industries Holdings helps investors to forecast how CF Industries stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of CF Industries more accurately as focusing exclusively on CF Industries' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
68.4675.8783.27
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.2980.6082.91
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
1.471.531.60
Details

CF Industries Total Value Analysis

CF Industries Holdings is currently forecasted to have takeover value of 17.74 B with market capitalization of 13.25 B, debt of 3.25 B, and cash on hands of 2.32 B. Please note that takeover value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting mistakes. We encourage investors to methodically examine all of the CF Industries fundamentals before making investment evaluation based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
17.74 B
13.25 B
3.25 B
2.32 B

CF Industries Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CF Industries was currently reported as 29.34. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.68. CF Industries Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of May 2025. The firm had 5:1 split on the 18th of June 2015. Based on the key indicators related to CF Industries' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, CF Industries Holdings is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in June.

CF Industries Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. CF Industries has an asset utilization ratio of 44.08 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.44 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that CF Industries Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

CF Industries Ownership Allocation

The majority of CF Industries Holdings outstanding shares are owned by institutions. These other corporate entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to acquire positions in CF Industries Holdings to benefit from reduced commissions. Hence, outside corporations are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in CF Industries Holdings. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of CF Industries as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On October 20, 2023, Senator Pete Ricketts of US Senate acquired $50k to $100k worth of CF Industries Holdings's common stock.

CF Industries Profitability Analysis

The company generated the yearly revenue of 5.94 B. Reported Net Income was 1.48 B with gross profit of 2.06 B.

CF Industries Past Distributions to stockholders

Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates CF Industries' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in CF Industries and how it compares across the competition.

About CF Industries Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines CF Industries' current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of CF Industries. We calculate exposure to CF Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of CF Industries's related companies.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. manufactures and sells hydrogen and nitrogen products for energy, fertilizer, emissions abatement, and other industrial activities worldwide. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Deerfield, Illinois. Cf Industries operates under Agricultural Inputs classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 2970 people.
CF Industries' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether CF Industries' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of CF Industries can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of CF Industries represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of CF Industries, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

CF Industries Dividends Analysis For Valuation

There are various types of dividends CF Industries can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of CF Industries shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from CF Industries Holdings directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When CF Industries pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of CF Industries by the value of the dividends paid out.

CF Industries Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as CF Industries does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding180.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.316
Forward Price Earnings12.5786

Complementary Tools for CF Industries Stock analysis

When running CF Industries' price analysis, check to measure CF Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CF Industries is operating at the current time. Most of CF Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CF Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CF Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CF Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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