Canfor Valuation

CFP Stock  CAD 13.89  0.36  2.53%   
At this time, the firm appears to be fairly valued. Canfor shows a prevailing Real Value of C$14.05 per share. The current price of the firm is C$13.89. Our model approximates the value of Canfor from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Return On Equity of -0.18, profit margin of (0.12) %, and Current Valuation of 2.31 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Canfor's valuation include:
Price Book
0.5027
Enterprise Value
2.3 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
20.0922
Price Sales
0.3165
Forward PE
1.4 K
Fairly Valued
Today
13.89
Please note that Canfor's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Canfor is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Canfor's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Canfor is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Canfor Stock. However, Canfor's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  13.89 Real  14.05 Hype  14.21 Naive  14.49
The intrinsic value of Canfor's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Canfor's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
14.05
Real Value
15.81
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Canfor helps investors to forecast how Canfor stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Canfor more accurately as focusing exclusively on Canfor's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.31-0.38-0.23
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.4514.2115.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.7314.4916.26
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Canfor's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Canfor's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Canfor's closest peers.

Canfor Cash

275.58 Million

Canfor Valuation Trend

Knowing Canfor's actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Canfor's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Canfor Total Value Analysis

Canfor is currently projected to have takeover price of 2.31 B with market capitalization of 1.67 B, debt of 154.9 M, and cash on hands of 259.3 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Canfor fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.31 B
1.67 B
154.9 M
259.3 M

Canfor Investor Information

About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.5. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Canfor recorded a loss per share of 5.36. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of June 2003. The firm had 1:4 split on the 29th of December 2014. Based on the analysis of Canfor's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Canfor is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in August.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities165.5 M174.2 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile

Canfor Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Canfor has an asset utilization ratio of 94.27 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.94 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Canfor is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
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Covid

Canfor Ownership Allocation

Canfor holds a total of 117.44 Million outstanding shares. Canfor retains significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Canfor Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 5.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (736.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 974.2 M.

About Canfor Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Canfor. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Canfor based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Canfor's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Canfor's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Canfor. We calculate exposure to Canfor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Canfor's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit946.7 M885.4 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.19)(0.18)
Operating Profit Margin(0.18)(0.17)
Net Loss(0.13)(0.12)
Gross Profit Margin 0.18  0.17 

Other Information on Investing in Canfor Stock

Canfor financial ratios help investors to determine whether Canfor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Canfor with respect to the benefits of owning Canfor security.