Federal Signal Valuation

FSG Stock  EUR 88.50  0.50  0.56%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. Federal Signal shows a prevailing Real Value of €75.74 per share. The current price of the firm is €88.5. Our model computes the value of Federal Signal from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 60.64 M, profit margin of 0.08 %, and Current Valuation of 2.92 B as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
88.50
Please note that Federal Signal's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Federal Signal is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Federal Signal's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Federal stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Federal Signal. Since Federal Signal is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Federal Stock. However, Federal Signal's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  88.5 Real  75.74 Hype  88.5 Naive  85.84
The real value of Federal Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Federal Signal Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Federal Signal's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Federal Signal's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
75.74
Real Value
97.35
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Federal Signal helps investors to forecast how Federal stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Federal Signal more accurately as focusing exclusively on Federal Signal's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
85.7391.7997.85
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.8788.5092.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
82.2185.8489.48
Details

Federal Signal Total Value Analysis

Federal Signal is currently estimated to have takeover price of 2.92 B with market capitalization of 2.95 B, debt of 280.7 M, and cash on hands of 39 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Federal Signal fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
2.92 B
2.95 B
280.7 M
39 M

Federal Signal Investor Information

About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Federal Signal was currently reported as 13.66. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2023. Federal Signal is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in August.

Federal Signal Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Federal Signal has an asset utilization ratio of 88.81 percent. This implies that the Company is making €0.89 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Federal Signal is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Federal Signal Ownership Allocation

Federal Signal holds a total of 60.64 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Federal Signal outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These outside corporations are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to obtain positions in Federal Signal to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Federal Signal. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Federal Signal as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Federal Signal Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 1.21 B. Net Income was 100.6 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 288.7 M.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Federal Signal's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Federal Signal and how it compares across the competition.

About Federal Signal Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Federal Signal's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Federal Signal. We calculate exposure to Federal Signal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Federal Signal's related companies.
Federal Signal Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and supplies a suite of products and integrated solutions for municipal, governmental, industrial, and commercial customers in the United States, Canada, Europe, and internationally. Federal Signal Corporation was founded in 1901 and is headquartered in Oak Brook, Illinois. FED SIGNAL operates under Pollution Treatment Controls classification in Germany and is traded on Frankfurt Stock Exchange. It employs 3300 people.

8 Steps to conduct Federal Signal's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Federal Signal's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Federal Signal's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Federal Signal's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Federal Signal's revenue streams: Identify Federal Signal's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Federal Signal's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Federal Signal's growth potential: Evaluate Federal Signal's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Federal Signal's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Federal Signal's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Complementary Tools for Federal Stock analysis

When running Federal Signal's price analysis, check to measure Federal Signal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Federal Signal is operating at the current time. Most of Federal Signal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Federal Signal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Federal Signal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Federal Signal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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