Kosmos Energy Valuation

KOS Stock  USD 2.13  0.10  4.93%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be overvalued. Kosmos Energy secures a last-minute Real Value of $1.69 per share. The latest price of the firm is $2.13. Our model forecasts the value of Kosmos Energy from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 3.77 B, return on equity of -0.0115, and Profit Margin of (0.01) % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
2.13
Please note that Kosmos Energy's price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Kosmos Energy is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Kosmos Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Kosmos stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Kosmos Energy. Since Kosmos Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Kosmos Stock. However, Kosmos Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.13 Real  1.69 Hype  2.13 Naive  2.16
The intrinsic value of Kosmos Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Kosmos Energy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
1.69
Real Value
6.56
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Kosmos Energy helps investors to forecast how Kosmos stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Kosmos Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on Kosmos Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.772.002.24
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.137.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.042.167.03
Details

Kosmos Energy Total Value Analysis

Kosmos Energy is now estimated to have company total value of 3.77 B with market capitalization of 970.36 M, debt of 2.74 B, and cash on hands of 84.97 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Kosmos Energy fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.77 B
970.36 M
2.74 B
84.97 M

Kosmos Energy Investor Information

About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kosmos Energy recorded a loss per share of 0.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of March 2020. Based on the key measurements obtained from Kosmos Energy's financial statements, Kosmos Energy is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in August.

Kosmos Energy Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Kosmos Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 31.56 percent. This implies that the Company is making $0.32 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Kosmos Energy is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Kosmos Energy Ownership Allocation

Kosmos Energy maintains a total of 478.01 Million outstanding shares. The majority of Kosmos Energy outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These third-party entities are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to shop for positions in Kosmos Energy to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional holders are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Kosmos Energy. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Kosmos Energy as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Also note that almost five million eight hundred seventy-nine thousand five hundred eleven invesors are currently shorting Kosmos Energy expressing very little confidence in its future performance.

Kosmos Energy Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.68 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 189.85 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 942.65 M.

About Kosmos Energy Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Kosmos Energy's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Kosmos Energy based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Kosmos Energy. We calculate exposure to Kosmos Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Kosmos Energy's related companies.
Kosmos Energy Ltd., a deep-water independent oil and gas exploration and production company, focuses along the Atlantic Margins. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas. Kosmos Energy operates under Oil Gas EP classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 229 people.

Kosmos Energy Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Kosmos Energy does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding476.7 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.5
Forward Price Earnings10.0604

Additional Tools for Kosmos Stock Analysis

When running Kosmos Energy's price analysis, check to measure Kosmos Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kosmos Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Kosmos Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kosmos Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kosmos Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kosmos Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.