Rumo SA Valuation

RAIL3 Stock  BRL 16.61  0.03  0.18%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Rumo SA holds a recent Real Value of R$14.55 per share. The prevailing price of the company is R$16.61. Our model determines the value of Rumo SA from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 1.85 B, return on equity of -0.0074, and Operating Margin of 0.25 % as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
16.61
Please note that Rumo SA's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Rumo SA is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Rumo SA's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the Rumo stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Rumo SA. Since Rumo SA is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Rumo Stock. However, Rumo SA's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  16.61 Real  14.55 Hype  16.61 Naive  16.19
The intrinsic value of Rumo SA's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Rumo SA's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
14.55
Real Value
16.85
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Rumo SA helps investors to forecast how Rumo stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Rumo SA more accurately as focusing exclusively on Rumo SA's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.4217.8619.29
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3116.6118.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
13.8916.1918.49
Details

Rumo SA Total Value Analysis

Rumo SA is at this time projected to have takeover price of 48.46 B with market capitalization of 32.44 B, debt of 22.68 B, and cash on hands of 8.5 B. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Rumo SA fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
48.46 B
32.44 B
22.68 B
8.5 B

Rumo SA Investor Information

About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Rumo SA was at this time reported as 8.13. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.05. Rumo SA last dividend was issued on the 28th of April 2022. The entity had 1:10 split on the 3rd of August 2015. Based on the key measurements obtained from Rumo SA's financial statements, Rumo SA is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in August.

Rumo SA Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Rumo SA has an asset utilization ratio of 15.44 percent. This implies that the Company is making R$0.15 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Rumo SA is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Rumo SA Ownership Allocation

Rumo SA owns a total of 1.85 Billion outstanding shares. Rumo SA has significant amount of outstanding shares owned by insiders. An insider is usually defined as a CEO, other corporate executive, director, or institutional investor who own at least 10% of the company's outstanding shares. Since such a large part of the company is owned by insiders, it is advisable to analyze if each of these insiders have been buying or selling the stock in recent months. Please note that no matter how many assets the company maintains, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Rumo SA Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 7.44 B. Net Income was 150.54 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.09 B.

About Rumo SA Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Rumo SA's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Rumo SA based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Rumo SA. We calculate exposure to Rumo SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Rumo SA's related companies.
Rumo S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides rail transportation services. Rumo S.A. was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Curitiba, Brazil. RUMO S operates under Railroads classification in Brazil and is traded on Sao Paolo Stock Exchange.

8 Steps to conduct Rumo SA's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Rumo SA's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Rumo SA's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Rumo SA's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Rumo SA's revenue streams: Identify Rumo SA's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Rumo SA's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Rumo SA's growth potential: Evaluate Rumo SA's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Rumo SA's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Rumo SA's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Additional Tools for Rumo Stock Analysis

When running Rumo SA's price analysis, check to measure Rumo SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rumo SA is operating at the current time. Most of Rumo SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rumo SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rumo SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rumo SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.