Trilogy Metals Valuation

TMQ Stock  CAD 2.60  0.01  0.39%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the company appears to be overvalued. Trilogy Metals has a current Real Value of C$1.99 per share. The regular price of the company is C$2.6. Our model measures the value of Trilogy Metals from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 164.24 M, return on equity of -0.0643, and Shares Owned By Institutions of 52.20 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Trilogy Metals' valuation include:
Price Book
2.399
Enterprise Value
393.4 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
(18.16)
Overvalued
Today
2.60
Please note that Trilogy Metals' price fluctuation is dangerous at this time. Calculation of the real value of Trilogy Metals is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Trilogy Metals' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Trilogy Metals is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Trilogy Stock. However, Trilogy Metals' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  2.6 Real  1.99 Hype  2.6 Naive  3.0
The intrinsic value of Trilogy Metals' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Trilogy Metals' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
1.99
Real Value
7.22
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Trilogy Metals helps investors to forecast how Trilogy stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Trilogy Metals more accurately as focusing exclusively on Trilogy Metals' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
-0.01-0.01-0.01
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.132.607.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.063.008.23
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Trilogy Metals' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Trilogy Metals' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Trilogy Metals' closest peers.

Trilogy Metals Cash

31.19 Million

Trilogy Valuation Trend

Knowing Trilogy Metals' actual value is paramount for traders when making sound investment determinations. Using both Trilogy Metals' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to estimate the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Trilogy Metals Total Value Analysis

Trilogy Metals is at this time projected to have takeover price of 393.39 M with market capitalization of 427.03 M, debt of 903 K, and cash on hands of 2.57 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Trilogy Metals fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
393.39 M
427.03 M
903 K
2.57 M

Trilogy Metals Asset Utilization

One of the ways to look at asset utilization of Trilogy is to check how much profit was generated for every dollar of assets it reports. Trilogy Metals has a negative utilization of assets of -0.0328 %, losing C$3.28E-4 for each dollar of assets held by the company. Inadequate asset utilization indicates the company is being less effective with each dollar of assets it has. In other words, asset utilization of Trilogy Metals shows how discouraging it operates for each dollar spent on its assets.
 
Covid

Trilogy Metals Ownership Allocation

Trilogy Metals shows a total of 164.24 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Trilogy Metals' outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. These institutional holders are typically referred to as corporate investors that take positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Consequently, these institutions are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors in Trilogy Metals. Please watch out for any change in the institutional holdings of Trilogy Metals as this could mean something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Trilogy Metals Profitability Analysis

Net Loss for the year was (8.59 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (2.61 M).

About Trilogy Metals Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trilogy Metals. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Trilogy Metals based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Trilogy Metals's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Trilogy Metals's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Trilogy Metals. We calculate exposure to Trilogy Metals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Trilogy Metals's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit-4.6 K-4.8 K
Pretax Profit Margin(1.52)(1.60)
Operating Profit Margin(1.55)(1.63)
Net Loss(1.49)(1.57)
Gross Profit Margin(0.19)(0.18)
When determining whether Trilogy Metals is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Trilogy Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Trilogy Metals Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Trilogy Metals Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Trilogy Metals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
To learn how to invest in Trilogy Stock, please use our How to Invest in Trilogy Metals guide.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trilogy Metals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trilogy Metals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trilogy Metals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.