ZTO Express Valuation

ZTO Stock  USD 20.65  0.22  1.05%   
At this time, the company appears to be undervalued. ZTO Express maintains a prevalent Real Value of $22.92 per share. The last-minute price of the company is $20.65. Our model calculates the value of ZTO Express from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Profit Margin of 0.19 %, return on equity of 0.14, and Current Valuation of 14.58 B as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Undervalued
Today
20.65
Please note that ZTO Express' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of ZTO Express is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing ZTO Express' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since ZTO Express is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of ZTO Stock. However, ZTO Express' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  20.65 Real  22.92 Hype  20.58
The intrinsic value of ZTO Express' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence ZTO Express' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
22.92
Real Value
24.15
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of ZTO Express helps investors to forecast how ZTO stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of ZTO Express more accurately as focusing exclusively on ZTO Express' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.3520.5821.81
Details

ZTO Express Total Value Analysis

ZTO Express is at this time anticipated to have company total value of 14.58 B with market capitalization of 16.44 B, debt of 17.35 B, and cash on hands of 13.47 B. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the ZTO Express fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
14.58 B
16.44 B
17.35 B
13.47 B

ZTO Express Investor Information

The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.8. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. ZTO Express has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2025. Based on the key indicators related to ZTO Express' liquidity, profitability, solvency, and operating efficiency, ZTO Express is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

ZTO Express Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. ZTO Express has an asset utilization ratio of 47.95 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.48 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that ZTO Express is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

ZTO Express Ownership Allocation

ZTO Express retains a total of 580.77 Million outstanding shares. Roughly 85.12 (%) of ZTO Express outstanding shares are held by general public with 2.37 % owned by insiders and only 12.51 percent by institutional investors. Please note that no matter how many assets the company shows, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

ZTO Express Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 44.28 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 8.89 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 12.35 B.

ZTO Express Past Distributions to stockholders

About ZTO Express Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of ZTO Express. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of ZTO Express based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing ZTO Express's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of ZTO Express's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of ZTO Express. We calculate exposure to ZTO Express's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of ZTO Express's related companies.
ZTO Express Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the Peoples Republic of China. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the Peoples Republic of China. Zto Express operates under Integrated Freight Logistics classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 23865 people.
ZTO Express' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether ZTO Express' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of ZTO Express can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of ZTO Express represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of ZTO, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

ZTO Express Dividends Analysis For Valuation

There are various types of dividends ZTO Express can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of ZTO shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from ZTO Express directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When ZTO pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of ZTO Express by the value of the dividends paid out.

ZTO Express Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding838.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.069
Forward Price Earnings12.8866
When determining whether ZTO Express offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ZTO Express' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Zto Express Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Zto Express Stock:
Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing.
To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. If investors know ZTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZTO Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.