Ascend Wellness Holdings Stock Volatility

AAWH Stock  USD 0.39  0.01  2.63%   
Ascend Wellness appears to be out of control, given 3 months investment horizon. Ascend Wellness Holdings secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0499, which signifies that the company had a 0.0499 % return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Ascend Wellness Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please makes use of Ascend Wellness' risk adjusted performance of 0.1097, and Mean Deviation of 4.35 to double-check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. Key indicators related to Ascend Wellness' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Ascend Wellness OTC Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Ascend daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Ascend's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Ascend Wellness volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Ascend Wellness at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Ascend stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.

Moving together with Ascend OTC Stock

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  0.64MKGAF MERCK KommanditgesellsPairCorr

Moving against Ascend OTC Stock

  0.82TEVA Teva PharmaceuticalPairCorr
  0.62EC Ecopetrol SA ADRPairCorr
  0.4MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ FinancialPairCorr
  0.34LTRY Lottery, Common StockPairCorr
  0.33TLK Telkom Indonesia TbkPairCorr

Ascend Wellness Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Ascend Wellness' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Ascend otc stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Ascend otc stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Ascend Wellness's beta of 2.09 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Ascend Wellness otc stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Ascend Wellness Holdings shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Ascend Wellness Holdings is a potential penny stock. Although Ascend Wellness may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny otc stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Ascend Wellness Holdings. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Ascend instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny otcs that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Ascend Wellness Holdings Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Ascend Wellness correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Ascend Beta

    
  2.09  
Ascend standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  5.17  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Ascend Wellness's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Ascend Wellness' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in ascend otc stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Ascend Wellness.

Ascend Wellness Holdings OTC Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Ascend Wellness otc price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Ascend Wellness' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Ascend Wellness' otc stock to predict their future moves. A otc that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A otc stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile otc is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Ascend Wellness' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of otc volatility measures Ascend Wellness' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Ascend Wellness' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the otc stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Ascend Wellness' current market price. This means that the otc will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Ascend Wellness' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Ascend Wellness Holdings Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Ascend Wellness Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 2.0865 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Ascend Wellness will likely underperform.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ascend Wellness or Healthcare sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ascend Wellness' price will be affected by overall otc stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ascend otc's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Ascend Wellness Holdings has an alpha of 0.3098, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Ascend Wellness' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how ascend otc stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Ascend Wellness Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a otc's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Ascend Wellness OTC Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Ascend Wellness is 2003.55. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 26.72 and standard deviation of 5.17. The mean deviation of Ascend Wellness Holdings is currently at 4.07. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.93
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.09
σ
Overall volatility
5.17
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Ascend Wellness OTC Stock Return Volatility

Ascend Wellness historical daily return volatility represents how much of Ascend Wellness otc's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 5.1693% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7819% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Ascend Wellness Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Ascend Wellness or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Ascend Wellness may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Ascend's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Ascend Wellness and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Ascend Wellness fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Ascend Wellness Holdings, Inc. engages in the cultivation, manufacture, and distribution of cannabis consumer packaged goods. The company was incorporated in 2018 and is headquartered in New York, New York. Ascend Wellness operates under Drug ManufacturersSpecialty Generic classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 1800 people.
Ascend Wellness' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Ascend OTC Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Ascend Wellness' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Ascend Wellness' volatility to invest better

Higher Ascend Wellness' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Ascend Wellness Holdings stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Ascend Wellness Holdings stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Ascend Wellness Holdings investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Ascend Wellness' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Ascend Wellness' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Ascend Wellness Investment Opportunity

Ascend Wellness Holdings has a volatility of 5.17 and is 6.63 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 46 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Ascend Wellness. You can use Ascend Wellness Holdings to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The otc stock experiences an expected bullish sentiment for its category. Check odds of Ascend Wellness to be traded at $0.468 in 90 days.

Weak diversification

The correlation between Ascend Wellness Holdings and DJI is 0.36 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Ascend Wellness Holdings and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Ascend Wellness Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ascend Wellness' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ascend Wellness' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Ascend Wellness otc stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential otc stocks, we recommend comparing similar otcs with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Ascend Wellness Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Ascend Wellness as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Ascend Wellness' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Ascend Wellness' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Ascend Wellness Holdings.

Complementary Tools for Ascend OTC Stock analysis

When running Ascend Wellness' price analysis, check to measure Ascend Wellness' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ascend Wellness is operating at the current time. Most of Ascend Wellness' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ascend Wellness' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ascend Wellness' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ascend Wellness to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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