Saratoga Small Capitalization Fund Volatility

SSCCX Fund  USD 0.38  0.01  2.70%   
Saratoga Small Capit owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0174, which indicates the fund had a -0.0174 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Saratoga Small Capitalization exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Saratoga Small's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), variance of 2.57, and Coefficient Of Variation of (5,739) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Saratoga Small's volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
Saratoga Small Mutual Fund volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Saratoga daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Saratoga's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Saratoga Small volatility.
  
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game with Saratoga Small. They may decide to buy additional shares of Saratoga Small at lower prices to lower the average cost per share, thereby improving their portfolio's performance when markets normalize.

Moving together with Saratoga Mutual Fund

  0.79VSMAX Vanguard Small CapPairCorr
  0.79VSCIX Vanguard Small CapPairCorr
  0.8VSCPX Vanguard Small CapPairCorr
  0.8NAESX Vanguard Small CapPairCorr
  0.87DFSTX Us Small CapPairCorr
  0.68PASVX T Rowe PricePairCorr
  0.68PRVIX T Rowe PricePairCorr
  0.66TRZVX T Rowe PricePairCorr

Saratoga Small Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Saratoga Small's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Saratoga mutual fund compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Saratoga mutual fund's returns against your selected market. In other words, Saratoga Small's beta of 0.82 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Saratoga Small mutual fund can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Saratoga Small Capitalization exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.05 and kurtosis of -0.37. Saratoga Small Capitalization is a potential penny fund. Although Saratoga Small may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny mutual funds are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Saratoga Small Capitalization. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Saratoga instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny funds that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Saratoga Small Capit Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Saratoga Small correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

Saratoga Beta

    
  0.82  
Saratoga standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  1.6  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Saratoga Small's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Saratoga Small's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in saratoga mutual fund tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Saratoga Small.

Saratoga Small Capit Mutual Fund Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Saratoga Small fund price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Saratoga Small's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Saratoga Small's mutual fund to predict their future moves. A fund that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A mutual fund with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile fund is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Saratoga Small's volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of fund volatility measures Saratoga Small's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Saratoga Small's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the mutual fund.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Saratoga Small's current market price. This means that the fund will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Saratoga Small's to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Saratoga Small Capit Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Saratoga Small Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming the 90 days horizon Saratoga Small has a beta of 0.8175 . This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Saratoga Small average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Saratoga Small Capitalization will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Saratoga Small or Saratoga sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Saratoga Small's price will be affected by overall mutual fund market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Saratoga fund's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Saratoga Small Capitalization has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Saratoga Small's volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how saratoga mutual fund's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives a Saratoga Small Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a fund's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Saratoga Small Mutual Fund Risk Measures

Assuming the 90 days horizon the coefficient of variation of Saratoga Small is -5738.9. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 2.57 and standard deviation of 1.6. The mean deviation of Saratoga Small Capitalization is currently at 1.01. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.66
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.82
σ
Overall volatility
1.60
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Saratoga Small Mutual Fund Return Volatility

Saratoga Small historical daily return volatility represents how much of Saratoga Small fund's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The fund shows 1.6029% volatility of returns over 90 . By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.6628% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Saratoga Small Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Saratoga Small or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Saratoga Small may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Saratoga's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Saratoga Small and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Saratoga Small fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
The fund will normally invest at least 80 percent of its total assets in common stocks of companies whose stock market capitalizations fall within the range of capitalizations in the Russell 2000 Index. Saratoga Advantage is traded on NASDAQ Exchange in the United States.
Saratoga Small's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Saratoga Mutual Fund over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Saratoga Small's price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Saratoga Small's volatility to invest better

Higher Saratoga Small's fund volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Saratoga Small Capit fund is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Saratoga Small Capit fund volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Saratoga Small Capit investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Saratoga Small's fund can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Saratoga Small's fund relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Saratoga Small Investment Opportunity

Saratoga Small Capitalization has a volatility of 1.6 and is 2.42 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 14 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Saratoga Small. You can use Saratoga Small Capitalization to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The mutual fund experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Saratoga Small to be traded at $0.456 in 90 days.

Weak diversification

The correlation between Saratoga Small Capitalization and DJI is 0.33 (i.e., Weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Saratoga Small Capitalization and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Saratoga Small Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Saratoga Small's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Saratoga Small's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Saratoga Small mutual fund's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential mutual funds, we recommend comparing similar funds with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Saratoga Small Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Saratoga Small as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Saratoga Small's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Saratoga Small's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Saratoga Small Capitalization.

Other Information on Investing in Saratoga Mutual Fund

Saratoga Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether Saratoga Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Saratoga with respect to the benefits of owning Saratoga Small security.
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