Yayla Agro (Turkey) Volatility
| YYLGD Stock | 10.26 0.24 2.40% |
Yayla Agro appears to be somewhat reliable, given 3 months investment horizon. Yayla Agro Gida shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0791, which attests that the company had a 0.0791 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Yayla Agro Gida, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please utilize Yayla Agro's Downside Deviation of 2.17, market risk adjusted performance of (0.35), and Mean Deviation of 2.01 to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations.
Yayla |
Yayla Agro Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Yayla daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Yayla's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Yayla Agro volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Yayla Agro at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Yayla stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes.
Moving against Yayla Stock
Yayla Agro Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
Yayla Agro's beta coefficient measures the volatility of Yayla stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Yayla stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Yayla Agro's beta of -0.44 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Yayla Agro stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Yayla Agro Gida currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.22. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Yayla Agro's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Yayla Agro's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Yayla Agro Gida Demand TrendCheck current 90 days Yayla Agro correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)Yayla Beta |
Yayla standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 2.84 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Yayla Agro's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Yayla Agro's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in yayla stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Yayla Agro.
Yayla Agro Gida Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which Yayla Agro stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Yayla Agro's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Yayla Agro's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Yayla Agro's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures Yayla Agro's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Yayla Agro's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Yayla Agro's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Yayla Agro's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Yayla Agro Gida Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
Yayla Agro Projected Return Density Against Market
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yayla Agro Gida has a beta of -0.441 . This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yayla Agro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yayla Agro Gida is likely to outperform the market.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Yayla Agro or Yayla sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Yayla Agro's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Yayla stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Yayla Agro Gida has an alpha of 0.2165, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives a Yayla Agro Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.Yayla Agro Stock Risk Measures
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the coefficient of variation of Yayla Agro is 1264.68. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 8.08 and standard deviation of 2.84. The mean deviation of Yayla Agro Gida is currently at 2.03. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.93
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Yayla Agro Stock Return Volatility
Yayla Agro historical daily return volatility represents how much of Yayla Agro stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm accepts 2.8428% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.7762% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
Yayla Agro Investment Opportunity
Yayla Agro Gida has a volatility of 2.84 and is 3.64 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 25 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than Yayla Agro. You can use Yayla Agro Gida to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of Yayla Agro to be traded at 12.31 in 90 days.Good diversification
The correlation between Yayla Agro Gida and DJI is -0.15 (i.e., Good diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Yayla Agro Gida and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
Yayla Agro Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of Yayla Agro's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Yayla Agro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Yayla Agro stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.063 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.35) | |||
| Mean Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1656.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.8 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Yayla Agro Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
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The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Yayla Agro as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Yayla Agro's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Yayla Agro's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Yayla Agro Gida.
Complementary Tools for Yayla Stock analysis
When running Yayla Agro's price analysis, check to measure Yayla Agro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Yayla Agro is operating at the current time. Most of Yayla Agro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Yayla Agro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Yayla Agro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Yayla Agro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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