ZTO Express Earnings Estimate
| ZTO Stock | USD 18.98 0.65 3.55% |
ZTO Express Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of ZTO Express' earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of ZTO Express is estimated to be 2.886875 with the future projection ranging from a low of 2.6125 to a high of 3.22485. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for ZTO Express is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
2.61 Lowest | Expected EPS | 3.22 Highest |
ZTO Express Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of ZTO Express' value are higher than the current market price of the ZTO Express stock. In this case, investors may conclude that ZTO Express is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and ZTO Express' stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of December 2025 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 21 | 75.28% | 0.0 | 2.886875 | 1.59 |
ZTO Express Earnings History
Earnings estimate consensus by ZTO Express analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge ZTO Express' stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only ZTO Express' upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.ZTO Express Quarterly Gross Profit |
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ZTO Express' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ZTO Express Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
Actual Earning per Share of ZTO Express refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering ZTO Express predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of ZTO Express, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.ZTO Express Estimated Months Earnings per Share
For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as ZTO Express, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of ZTO Express should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.ZTO Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics
Earnings surprises can significantly impact ZTO Express' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
null | null | null | null | null | 0 | ||
null | null | null | null | null | 0 | ||
2025-05-13 | 2025-03-31 | 2.8986 | 2.71 | -0.1886 | 6 | ||
2025-03-17 | 2024-12-31 | 3.2816 | 3.24 | -0.0416 | 1 | ||
2024-11-19 | 2024-09-30 | 0.4 | 2.91 | 2.51 | 627 | ||
2024-08-20 | 2024-06-30 | 3.24 | 4.31 | 1.07 | 33 | ||
2024-05-15 | 2024-03-31 | 2.41 | 1.75 | -0.66 | 27 | ||
2024-03-19 | 2023-12-31 | 2.63 | 2.66 | 0.03 | 1 | ||
2023-11-16 | 2023-09-30 | 2.76 | 2.84 | 0.08 | 2 | ||
2023-08-29 | 2023-06-30 | 2.83 | 3.07 | 0.24 | 8 | ||
2023-05-17 | 2023-03-31 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.01 | 3 | ||
2023-03-15 | 2022-12-31 | 2.59 | 2.61 | 0.02 | 0 | ||
2022-11-21 | 2022-09-30 | 1.89 | 2.37 | 0.48 | 25 | ||
2022-08-17 | 2022-06-30 | 1.69 | 2.23 | 0.54 | 31 | ||
2022-05-25 | 2022-03-31 | 1.45 | 1.34 | -0.11 | 7 | ||
2022-03-17 | 2021-12-31 | 2.11 | 2.18 | 0.07 | 3 | ||
2021-11-17 | 2021-09-30 | 1.42 | 1.43 | 0.01 | 0 | ||
2021-07-08 | 2021-06-30 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.0 | 0 | ||
2021-05-19 | 2021-03-31 | 0.94 | 0.64 | -0.3 | 31 | ||
2021-03-17 | 2020-12-31 | 1.78 | 1.55 | -0.23 | 12 | ||
2020-11-18 | 2020-09-30 | 1.49 | 1.53 | 0.04 | 2 | ||
2020-08-12 | 2020-06-30 | 1.87 | 1.85 | -0.02 | 1 | ||
2020-05-20 | 2020-03-31 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 0.1 | 13 | ||
2020-03-16 | 2019-12-31 | 1.93 | 2.1 | 0.17 | 8 | ||
2019-11-18 | 2019-09-30 | 1.54 | 1.67 | 0.13 | 8 | ||
2019-08-15 | 2019-06-30 | 1.61 | 1.73 | 0.12 | 7 | ||
2019-05-15 | 2019-03-31 | 1.17 | 0.87 | -0.3 | 25 | ||
2019-03-12 | 2018-12-31 | 1.6 | 1.62 | 0.02 | 1 | ||
2018-11-14 | 2018-09-30 | 1.32 | 1.33 | 0.01 | 0 | ||
2018-08-08 | 2018-06-30 | 1.4 | 1.48 | 0.08 | 5 | ||
2018-05-09 | 2018-03-31 | 0.97 | 0.78 | -0.19 | 19 | ||
2018-03-12 | 2017-12-31 | 1.5 | 1.76 | 0.26 | 17 | ||
2017-11-20 | 2017-09-30 | 1.01 | 1.0 | -0.01 | 0 | ||
2017-08-22 | 2017-06-30 | 0.92 | 1.0 | 0.08 | 8 | ||
2017-05-17 | 2017-03-31 | 0.65 | 0.7 | 0.05 | 7 | ||
2017-02-27 | 2016-12-31 | 1.09 | 1.04 | -0.05 | 4 | ||
2016-11-28 | 2016-09-30 | 0.77 | 0.78 | 0.01 | 1 |
About ZTO Express Earnings Estimate
The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of ZTO Express earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current ZTO Express estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as ZTO Express fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Retained Earnings | 39.1 B | 41.1 B | |
| Earnings Yield | 0.08 | 0.08 | |
| Price Earnings Ratio | 13.28 | 12.62 | |
| Price Earnings To Growth Ratio | 4.02 | 4.22 |
Pair Trading with ZTO Express
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if ZTO Express position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ZTO Express will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against ZTO Stock
| 0.53 | GVH | Globavend Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | CRGO | Freightos Limited | PairCorr |
| 0.49 | TOPP | Toppoint Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.45 | PBI | Pitney Bowes | PairCorr |
| 0.41 | AIRT | Air T Inc | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to ZTO Express could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace ZTO Express when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back ZTO Express - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling ZTO Express to buy it.
The correlation of ZTO Express is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as ZTO Express moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if ZTO Express moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for ZTO Express can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Your Current Watchlist to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in ZTO Express. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate. To learn how to invest in ZTO Stock, please use our How to Invest in ZTO Express guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ZTO Express. If investors know ZTO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ZTO Express listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.394 | Dividend Share 5.109 | Earnings Share 1.59 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.094 |
The market value of ZTO Express is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ZTO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ZTO Express' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ZTO Express' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ZTO Express' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ZTO Express' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ZTO Express' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ZTO Express is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ZTO Express' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.