Kaufman Et Stock Forward View

0F07 Stock   32.15  0.20  0.62%   
Kaufman Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Kaufman Et's share price is at 54. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kaufman Et, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 54

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kaufman Et's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kaufman Et and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kaufman Et's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kaufman Et Broad, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kaufman Et's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.473
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.042
Using Kaufman Et hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kaufman Et Broad from the perspective of Kaufman Et response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kaufman Et Broad on the next trading day is expected to be 32.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.45.

Kaufman Et after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 32.18  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kaufman Et to cross-verify your projections.

Kaufman Et Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kaufman price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kaufman using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kaufman charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Kaufman Et is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Kaufman Et Broad value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Kaufman Et Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Kaufman Et Broad on the next trading day is expected to be 32.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.45.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Kaufman Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Kaufman Et's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Kaufman Et Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Kaufman Et  Kaufman Et Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Kaufman Et Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Kaufman Et's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Kaufman Et's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.08 and 34.07, respectively. We have considered Kaufman Et's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.15
32.57
Expected Value
34.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Kaufman Et stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Kaufman Et stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5643
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3621
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0118
SAESum of the absolute errors22.4472
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Kaufman Et Broad. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Kaufman Et. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Kaufman Et

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaufman Et Broad. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.6832.1833.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.0831.5833.08
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
7.7431.7932.99
Details

Kaufman Et After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kaufman Et at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kaufman Et or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kaufman Et, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kaufman Et Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kaufman Et's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kaufman Et's historical news coverage. Kaufman Et's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.68 and 33.68, respectively. We have considered Kaufman Et's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
32.15
32.18
After-hype Price
33.68
Upside
Kaufman Et is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kaufman Et Broad is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kaufman Et Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kaufman Et is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kaufman Et backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kaufman Et, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.50
  0.03 
  1.11 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.15
32.18
0.09 
681.82  
Notes

Kaufman Et Hype Timeline

Kaufman Et Broad is presently traded for 32.15on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.11. Kaufman is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 32.18 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.09%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Kaufman Et is about 18.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.04. The company reported the revenue of 1.14 B. Net Income was 45 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 221.92 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Kaufman Et to cross-verify your projections.

Kaufman Et Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kaufman Et's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kaufman Et's future price movements. Getting to know how Kaufman Et's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kaufman Et may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BC94Samsung Electronics Co 16.00 5 per month 1.42  0.42  5.77 (3.05) 13.29 
SMSDSamsung Electronics Co(15.00)5 per month 1.30  0.39  5.44 (2.66) 12.16 
SMSNSamsung Electronics Co(3.20)5 per month 1.39  0.40  6.03 (3.03) 11.22 
TYTToyota Motor Corp(64.00)8 per month 1.29  0.11  3.26 (2.29) 10.55 
GTCOGuaranty Trust Holding 0.0008 4 per month 3.69  0.10  8.83 (5.20) 23.09 
0LCVTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing 2.00 7 per month 1.53  0.18  4.48 (2.70) 10.72 
RIGDReliance Industries Limited 0.60 6 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.60 (2.66) 7.27 
0RUKMOL Hungarian Oil 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Kaufman Et

For every potential investor in Kaufman, whether a beginner or expert, Kaufman Et's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Kaufman Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Kaufman. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Kaufman Et's price trends.

Kaufman Et Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Kaufman Et stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Kaufman Et could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kaufman Et by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Kaufman Et Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Kaufman Et stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Kaufman Et shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Kaufman Et stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Kaufman Et Broad entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Kaufman Et Risk Indicators

The analysis of Kaufman Et's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Kaufman Et's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting kaufman stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Kaufman Et

The number of cover stories for Kaufman Et depends on current market conditions and Kaufman Et's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kaufman Et is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kaufman Et's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Kaufman Stock Analysis

When running Kaufman Et's price analysis, check to measure Kaufman Et's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kaufman Et is operating at the current time. Most of Kaufman Et's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kaufman Et's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kaufman Et's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kaufman Et to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.