Mr Onion Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

2740 Stock  TWD 35.80  2.20  5.79%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Mr Onion on the next trading day is expected to be 37.41 with a mean absolute deviation of  1.06  and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.78. 2740 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Mr Onion stock prices and determine the direction of Mr Onion's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Mr Onion's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mr Onion to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Mr Onion cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Mr Onion's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Mr Onion's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Mr Onion polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Mr Onion as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Mr Onion Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Mr Onion on the next trading day is expected to be 37.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.06, mean absolute percentage error of 1.66, and the sum of the absolute errors of 64.78.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict 2740 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mr Onion's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mr Onion Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Mr OnionMr Onion Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Mr Onion Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Mr Onion's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mr Onion's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 33.72 and 41.10, respectively. We have considered Mr Onion's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
35.80
37.41
Expected Value
41.10
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mr Onion stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mr Onion stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.6182
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.0619
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0284
SAESum of the absolute errors64.7758
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Mr Onion historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Mr Onion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mr Onion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mr Onion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.1135.8039.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
27.0830.7739.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
34.1937.2440.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mr Onion. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mr Onion's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mr Onion's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mr Onion.

Other Forecasting Options for Mr Onion

For every potential investor in 2740, whether a beginner or expert, Mr Onion's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 2740 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 2740. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mr Onion's price trends.

Mr Onion Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mr Onion stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mr Onion could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mr Onion by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Mr Onion Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mr Onion's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mr Onion's current price.

Mr Onion Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mr Onion stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mr Onion shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mr Onion stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mr Onion entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Mr Onion Risk Indicators

The analysis of Mr Onion's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mr Onion's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 2740 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Mr Onion in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Mr Onion's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Mr Onion options trading.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
Explore Thematic Ideas
Explore Investing Ideas  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mr Onion to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.

Complementary Tools for 2740 Stock analysis

When running Mr Onion's price analysis, check to measure Mr Onion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mr Onion is operating at the current time. Most of Mr Onion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mr Onion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mr Onion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mr Onion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Global Markets Map
Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Price Ceiling Movement
Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Sign In To Macroaxis
Sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mr Onion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mr Onion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mr Onion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.