Mr Onion (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.00

2740 Stock  TWD 38.00  1.00  2.56%   
Mr Onion's future price is the expected price of Mr Onion instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mr Onion performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mr Onion Backtesting, Mr Onion Valuation, Mr Onion Correlation, Mr Onion Hype Analysis, Mr Onion Volatility, Mr Onion History as well as Mr Onion Performance.
  
Please specify Mr Onion's target price for which you would like Mr Onion odds to be computed.

Mr Onion Target Price Odds to finish over 38.00

The tendency of 2740 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 38.00 90 days 38.00 
about 33.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mr Onion to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 33.09 (This Mr Onion probability density function shows the probability of 2740 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mr Onion has a beta of -0.38. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mr Onion are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mr Onion is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mr Onion has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Mr Onion Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mr Onion

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mr Onion. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mr Onion's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.4138.0041.59
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.1031.6941.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.6038.1941.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.2237.8242.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mr Onion. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mr Onion's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mr Onion's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mr Onion.

Mr Onion Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mr Onion is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mr Onion's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mr Onion, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mr Onion within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.01
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.38
σ
Overall volatility
1.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Mr Onion Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mr Onion for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mr Onion can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mr Onion had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Mr Onion has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 109.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.64 M.
Mr Onion has accumulated about 54.67 M in cash with (19.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.13.
Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Mr Onion Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 2740 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mr Onion's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mr Onion's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.2 M

Mr Onion Technical Analysis

Mr Onion's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 2740 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mr Onion. In general, you should focus on analyzing 2740 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mr Onion Predictive Forecast Models

Mr Onion's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mr Onion's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mr Onion's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mr Onion

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mr Onion for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mr Onion help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mr Onion had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Mr Onion has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 109.73 M. Net Loss for the year was (34.93 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 46.64 M.
Mr Onion has accumulated about 54.67 M in cash with (19.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.13.
Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Check out Mr Onion Backtesting, Mr Onion Valuation, Mr Onion Correlation, Mr Onion Hype Analysis, Mr Onion Volatility, Mr Onion History as well as Mr Onion Performance.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.

Complementary Tools for 2740 Stock analysis

When running Mr Onion's price analysis, check to measure Mr Onion's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mr Onion is operating at the current time. Most of Mr Onion's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mr Onion's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mr Onion's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mr Onion to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Money Flow Index
Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mr Onion's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mr Onion is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mr Onion's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.