PARK24 SPONS Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

3WN Stock  EUR 11.10  0.20  1.83%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PARK24 SPONS ADR1 on the next trading day is expected to be 11.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.47. PARK24 Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of PARK24 SPONS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the value of rsi of PARK24 SPONS's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of PARK24 SPONS's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PARK24 SPONS and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PARK24 SPONS's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PARK24 SPONS ADR1, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using PARK24 SPONS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PARK24 SPONS ADR1 from the perspective of PARK24 SPONS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of PARK24 SPONS ADR1 on the next trading day is expected to be 11.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.47.

PARK24 SPONS after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 11.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PARK24 SPONS to cross-verify your projections.

PARK24 SPONS Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine PARK24 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PARK24 using various technical indicators. When you analyze PARK24 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for PARK24 SPONS is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of PARK24 SPONS ADR1 value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

PARK24 SPONS Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of PARK24 SPONS ADR1 on the next trading day is expected to be 11.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.47.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PARK24 Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PARK24 SPONS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

PARK24 SPONS Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest PARK24 SPONSPARK24 SPONS Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

PARK24 SPONS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting PARK24 SPONS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PARK24 SPONS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.90 and 13.20, respectively. We have considered PARK24 SPONS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
11.10
11.05
Expected Value
13.20
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PARK24 SPONS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PARK24 SPONS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.3047
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1881
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0185
SAESum of the absolute errors11.4726
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of PARK24 SPONS ADR1. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict PARK24 SPONS. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for PARK24 SPONS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PARK24 SPONS ADR1. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9511.1013.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.5610.7112.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.8210.1911.56
Details

Other Forecasting Options for PARK24 SPONS

For every potential investor in PARK24, whether a beginner or expert, PARK24 SPONS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PARK24 Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PARK24. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PARK24 SPONS's price trends.

PARK24 SPONS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PARK24 SPONS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PARK24 SPONS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PARK24 SPONS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PARK24 SPONS ADR1 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PARK24 SPONS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PARK24 SPONS's current price.

PARK24 SPONS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PARK24 SPONS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PARK24 SPONS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PARK24 SPONS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PARK24 SPONS ADR1 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

PARK24 SPONS Risk Indicators

The analysis of PARK24 SPONS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PARK24 SPONS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting park24 stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in PARK24 Stock

PARK24 SPONS financial ratios help investors to determine whether PARK24 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PARK24 with respect to the benefits of owning PARK24 SPONS security.