AP Moeller Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

AP Moeller Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AMKAF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMKAF using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMKAF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. AP Moeller simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for AP Moeller are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as AP Moeller prices get older.

AP Moeller Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AP Moeller on the next trading day is expected to be 2,303 with a mean absolute deviation of 35.36, mean absolute percentage error of 4,544, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,157.

AP Moeller Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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AP Moeller Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AP Moeller pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AP Moeller pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting AP Moeller forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent AP Moeller observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for AP Moeller

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AP Moeller. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 2,299 2,303 2,306 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 2,231 2,234 2,533 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 2,176 2,321 2,466 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AP Moeller. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AP Moeller's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AP Moeller's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AP Moeller.

AP Moeller After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

AP Moeller Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

AP Moeller Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

AP Moeller Hype Timeline

AP Moeller is presently traded for 2,303. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. AMKAF is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on AP Moeller is about 1706.19%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2,303. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AP Moeller has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.34. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 1595.0. The firm last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2022. AP Moeller had 5:1 split on the 4th of April 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AP Moeller to cross-verify your projections.

AP Moeller Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for AP Moeller

For every potential investor in AMKAF, whether a beginner or expert, AP Moeller's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AMKAF Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AMKAF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AP Moeller's price trends.

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