Apogee Enterprises Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

APOG Stock  USD 37.49  0.57  1.50%   
Apogee Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Apogee Enterprises' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Apogee Enterprises' share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Apogee Enterprises, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Apogee Enterprises' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Apogee Enterprises and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Apogee Enterprises' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apogee Enterprises, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Apogee Enterprises hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apogee Enterprises from the perspective of Apogee Enterprises response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Apogee Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 38.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.36.

Apogee Enterprises after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.49  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apogee Enterprises to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Apogee Stock please use our How to Invest in Apogee Enterprises guide.

Apogee Enterprises Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Apogee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apogee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apogee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Apogee Enterprises price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Apogee Enterprises Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Apogee Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 38.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.45, mean absolute percentage error of 3.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Apogee Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Apogee Enterprises' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Apogee Enterprises Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Apogee Enterprises  Apogee Enterprises Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Apogee Enterprises Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Apogee Enterprises' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Apogee Enterprises' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.62 and 40.90, respectively. We have considered Apogee Enterprises' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.49
38.26
Expected Value
40.90
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Apogee Enterprises stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Apogee Enterprises stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.3458
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.4485
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0396
SAESum of the absolute errors88.3615
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Apogee Enterprises historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Apogee Enterprises

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apogee Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.8537.4940.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.2236.8639.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.3836.8940.40
Details

Apogee Enterprises After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Apogee Enterprises at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Apogee Enterprises or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Apogee Enterprises, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Apogee Enterprises Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Apogee Enterprises' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Apogee Enterprises' historical news coverage. Apogee Enterprises' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.85 and 40.13, respectively. We have considered Apogee Enterprises' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.49
37.49
After-hype Price
40.13
Upside
Apogee Enterprises is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apogee Enterprises is based on 3 months time horizon.

Apogee Enterprises Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Apogee Enterprises is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apogee Enterprises backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Apogee Enterprises, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.07 
2.64
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.49
37.49
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Apogee Enterprises Hype Timeline

Apogee Enterprises is presently traded for 37.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Apogee is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Apogee Enterprises is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.49. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.62. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Apogee Enterprises has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.57. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of February 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 18th of February 1997. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apogee Enterprises to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Apogee Stock please use our How to Invest in Apogee Enterprises guide.

Apogee Enterprises Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Apogee Enterprises' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Apogee Enterprises' future price movements. Getting to know how Apogee Enterprises' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Apogee Enterprises may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GLDDGreat Lakes Dredge 0.00 0 per month 1.54  0.16  3.11 (3.10) 16.08 
NPKNational Presto Industries 0.00 0 per month 1.85  0.11  2.80 (2.20) 10.34 
NXQuanex Building Products 0.00 0 per month 2.32  0.15  6.18 (4.72) 14.57 
SWIMLatham Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.41 (5.04) 13.35 
ASPNAspen Aerogels 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.16) 5.25 (6.54) 47.59 
CRESYCresud SACIF y 0.00 0 per month 1.81  0.10  4.73 (3.60) 13.61 
BXCBlueLinx Holdings 0.00 0 per month 2.38  0.02  7.49 (3.91) 13.08 
BWMNBowman Consulting Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.35 (5.57) 26.93 
NATNordic American Tankers 0.00 0 per month 1.31  0.12  2.79 (2.31) 10.94 
SERVServe Robotics Common 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 10.62 (9.56) 28.21 

Other Forecasting Options for Apogee Enterprises

For every potential investor in Apogee, whether a beginner or expert, Apogee Enterprises' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Apogee Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Apogee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Apogee Enterprises' price trends.

Apogee Enterprises Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Apogee Enterprises stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Apogee Enterprises could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apogee Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Apogee Enterprises Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Apogee Enterprises stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Apogee Enterprises shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Apogee Enterprises stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Apogee Enterprises entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Apogee Enterprises Risk Indicators

The analysis of Apogee Enterprises' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Apogee Enterprises' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting apogee stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Apogee Enterprises

The number of cover stories for Apogee Enterprises depends on current market conditions and Apogee Enterprises' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Apogee Enterprises is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Apogee Enterprises' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Apogee Enterprises Short Properties

Apogee Enterprises' future price predictability will typically decrease when Apogee Enterprises' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Apogee Enterprises often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Apogee Enterprises' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apogee Enterprises' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments46.2 M
When determining whether Apogee Enterprises is a strong investment it is important to analyze Apogee Enterprises' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Apogee Enterprises' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Apogee Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Apogee Enterprises to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Apogee Stock please use our How to Invest in Apogee Enterprises guide.
You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does Apogee have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apogee Enterprises. If investors know Apogee will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Apogee Enterprises demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Investors evaluate Apogee Enterprises using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Apogee Enterprises' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Apogee Enterprises' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Apogee Enterprises' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Apogee Enterprises represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Apogee Enterprises' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.