Ascott Residence Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

ATTRF Stock  USD 0.67  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ascott Residence Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 0.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Ascott Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ascott Residence's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Ascott Residence's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ascott Residence's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ascott Residence and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ascott Residence's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ascott Residence Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Ascott Residence hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ascott Residence Trust from the perspective of Ascott Residence response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ascott Residence Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 0.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.

Ascott Residence after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ascott Residence to cross-verify your projections.

Ascott Residence Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ascott price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ascott using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ascott charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Ascott Residence simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Ascott Residence Trust are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Ascott Residence Trust prices get older.

Ascott Residence Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ascott Residence Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 0.67 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000167, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ascott Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ascott Residence's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ascott Residence Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ascott ResidenceAscott Residence Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ascott Residence Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ascott Residence's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ascott Residence's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.49 and 0.85, respectively. We have considered Ascott Residence's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.67
0.67
Expected Value
0.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ascott Residence pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ascott Residence pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria102.9679
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation2.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error2.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.01
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Ascott Residence Trust forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Ascott Residence observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Ascott Residence

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ascott Residence Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.490.670.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.380.560.74
Details

Ascott Residence After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ascott Residence at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ascott Residence or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Ascott Residence, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ascott Residence Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ascott Residence's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ascott Residence's historical news coverage. Ascott Residence's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.49 and 0.85, respectively. We have considered Ascott Residence's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.67
0.67
After-hype Price
0.85
Upside
Ascott Residence is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ascott Residence Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ascott Residence Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ascott Residence is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ascott Residence backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ascott Residence, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02 
0.18
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.67
0.67
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Ascott Residence Hype Timeline

Ascott Residence Trust is presently traded for 0.67. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ascott is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ascott Residence is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.67. About 48.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.7. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ascott Residence Trust has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.66. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ascott Residence to cross-verify your projections.

Ascott Residence Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ascott Residence's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ascott Residence's future price movements. Getting to know how Ascott Residence's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ascott Residence may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DREUFDream Industrial Real 0.00 0 per month 1.19  0.09  1.83 (2.06) 8.46 
LLESYLend Lease Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.05 (5.72) 28.76 
LLESFLend Lease Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.00  0.00  16.17 
DWVYFDerwent London PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HNLGYHang Lung Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.03  2.96 (1.12) 20.46 
FRLOFFrasers Logistics Commercial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.01  1.39  0.00  23.80 
HUFAFHufvudstaden AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00  0.00  4.83 
NIPOFJapan Hotel REIT 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BOWFFBoardwalk Real Estate 0.00 0 per month 1.21  0.01  1.78 (1.76) 7.74 
GPEAFGreat Portland Estates 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.01) 0.65 (0.65) 19.16 

Other Forecasting Options for Ascott Residence

For every potential investor in Ascott, whether a beginner or expert, Ascott Residence's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ascott Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ascott. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ascott Residence's price trends.

Ascott Residence Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ascott Residence pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ascott Residence could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ascott Residence by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ascott Residence Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ascott Residence pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ascott Residence shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ascott Residence pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ascott Residence Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ascott Residence Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ascott Residence's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ascott Residence's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ascott pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Ascott Residence

The number of cover stories for Ascott Residence depends on current market conditions and Ascott Residence's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ascott Residence is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ascott Residence's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Ascott Pink Sheet

Ascott Residence financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ascott Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ascott with respect to the benefits of owning Ascott Residence security.