Captivision Ordinary Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CAPT Stock | 0.66 0.08 13.79% |
Captivision Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of Captivision Ordinary's share price is at 57 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Captivision Ordinary, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Captivision Ordinary hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Captivision Ordinary Shares from the perspective of Captivision Ordinary response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Captivision Ordinary Shares on the next trading day is expected to be 0.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.80. Captivision Ordinary after-hype prediction price | USD 0.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Captivision | Build AI portfolio with Captivision Stock |
Captivision Ordinary Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Captivision price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Captivision using various technical indicators. When you analyze Captivision charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Captivision Ordinary Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Captivision Ordinary Shares on the next trading day is expected to be 0.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Captivision Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Captivision Ordinary's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Captivision Ordinary Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Captivision Ordinary | Captivision Ordinary Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Captivision Ordinary Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Captivision Ordinary's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Captivision Ordinary's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 13.16, respectively. We have considered Captivision Ordinary's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Captivision Ordinary stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Captivision Ordinary stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.792 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -3.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0467 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0861 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.8 |
Predictive Modules for Captivision Ordinary
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Captivision Ordinary. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Captivision Ordinary After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Captivision Ordinary at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Captivision Ordinary or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Captivision Ordinary, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Captivision Ordinary Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Captivision Ordinary's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Captivision Ordinary's historical news coverage. Captivision Ordinary's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 13.16, respectively. We have considered Captivision Ordinary's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Captivision Ordinary is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Captivision Ordinary is based on 3 months time horizon.
Captivision Ordinary Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Captivision Ordinary is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Captivision Ordinary backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Captivision Ordinary, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.78 | 12.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.66 | 0.66 | 0.00 |
|
Captivision Ordinary Hype Timeline
Captivision Ordinary is currently traded for 0.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Captivision is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.78%. %. The volatility of related hype on Captivision Ordinary is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.66. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 2.92. Captivision Ordinary had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1 split on the 16th of November 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Captivision Ordinary to cross-verify your projections.Captivision Ordinary Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Captivision Ordinary's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Captivision Ordinary's future price movements. Getting to know how Captivision Ordinary's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Captivision Ordinary may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ELPW | Elong Power Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 10.00 | (25.86) | 45.14 | |
| AQMS | Aqua Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 8.45 | (9.44) | 27.61 | |
| GTEC | Greenland Acquisition Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.22 | 0.02 | 19.23 | (14.86) | 50.83 | |
| WFF | WF Holding Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 13.64 | (8.47) | 63.23 | |
| CJMB | Callan JMB Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 10.13 | 0.04 | 7.14 | (16.58) | 300.80 | |
| GFAI | Guardforce AI Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 10.94 | (9.23) | 25.97 | |
| HCAI | Huachen AI Parking | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 7.89 | (7.89) | 23.66 | |
| SBCWW | SBC Medical Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.44 | 0.18 | 25.00 | (20.00) | 52.73 | |
| TOMZ | TOMI Environmental Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.90 | (4.88) | 10.89 | |
| HYFM | Hydrofarm Holdings Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 12.26 | (9.50) | 47.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Captivision Ordinary
For every potential investor in Captivision, whether a beginner or expert, Captivision Ordinary's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Captivision Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Captivision. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Captivision Ordinary's price trends.Captivision Ordinary Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Captivision Ordinary stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Captivision Ordinary could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Captivision Ordinary by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Captivision Ordinary Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Captivision Ordinary stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Captivision Ordinary shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Captivision Ordinary stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Captivision Ordinary Shares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Captivision Ordinary Risk Indicators
The analysis of Captivision Ordinary's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Captivision Ordinary's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting captivision stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 8.7 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.5 | |||
| Variance | 156.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 114.96 | |||
| Semi Variance | 94.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (11.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Captivision Ordinary
The number of cover stories for Captivision Ordinary depends on current market conditions and Captivision Ordinary's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Captivision Ordinary is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Captivision Ordinary's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Captivision Ordinary Short Properties
Captivision Ordinary's future price predictability will typically decrease when Captivision Ordinary's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Captivision Ordinary Shares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Captivision Ordinary's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Captivision Ordinary's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 476.7 K |
Additional Tools for Captivision Stock Analysis
When running Captivision Ordinary's price analysis, check to measure Captivision Ordinary's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Captivision Ordinary is operating at the current time. Most of Captivision Ordinary's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Captivision Ordinary's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Captivision Ordinary's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Captivision Ordinary to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.