Cross Country Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CCRN Stock  USD 8.10  0.15  1.82%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cross Country Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 8.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.29. Cross Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Cross Country's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cross Country's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cross Country fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Cross Country's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cross Country's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cross Country Healthcare, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cross Country's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.79)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0571
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.0914
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.0957
Wall Street Target Price
9.6625
Using Cross Country hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cross Country Healthcare from the perspective of Cross Country response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cross Country using Cross Country's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cross using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cross Country's stock price.

Cross Country Short Interest

An investor who is long Cross Country may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cross Country and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cross Country with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
12.7304
Short Percent
0.037
Short Ratio
0.88
Shares Short Prior Month
3.3 M
50 Day MA
10.3756

Cross Country Healthcare Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Cross Country's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cross. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cross can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cross Country Healthcare. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cross Country's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cross Country.

Cross Country Implied Volatility

    
  1.26  
Cross Country's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cross Country Healthcare stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cross Country's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cross Country stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cross Country's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cross Country Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 8.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.29.

Cross Country after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cross Country to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Cross Country's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 2nd of January 2026, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 176.00, while Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 6.19. . As of the 2nd of January 2026, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 227.6 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop about 35.6 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Cross Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Cross Country's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Cross Country's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Cross Country stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Cross Country's open interest, investors have to compare it to Cross Country's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Cross Country is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Cross. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Cross Country Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cross price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cross using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cross charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Cross Country Cash Forecast

Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Cross Country's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2001-12-31
Previous Quarter
81.2 M
Current Value
99.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
19.9 M
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Cross Country is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cross Country Healthcare value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cross Country Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cross Country Healthcare on the next trading day is expected to be 8.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cross Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cross Country's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cross Country Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cross CountryCross Country Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Cross Country Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cross Country's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cross Country's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.28 and 12.92, respectively. We have considered Cross Country's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.10
8.60
Expected Value
12.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cross Country stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cross Country stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5763
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3654
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0354
SAESum of the absolute errors22.2893
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cross Country Healthcare. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cross Country. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cross Country

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cross Country Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.818.1012.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.467.7512.04
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.799.6610.73
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Cross Country

For every potential investor in Cross, whether a beginner or expert, Cross Country's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cross Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cross. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cross Country's price trends.

Cross Country Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cross Country stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cross Country could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cross Country by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cross Country Healthcare Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cross Country's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cross Country's current price.

Cross Country Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cross Country stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cross Country shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cross Country stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cross Country Healthcare entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cross Country Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cross Country's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cross Country's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cross stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Cross Country

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Cross Country position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cross Country will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Cross Stock

  0.91NPTH NeuPath HealthPairCorr
  0.74CNC Centene Corp Sell-off TrendPairCorr
  0.73GH Guardant HealthPairCorr
  0.67CAH Cardinal HealthPairCorr
  0.61HCA HCA HoldingsPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Cross Country could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Cross Country when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Cross Country - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Cross Country Healthcare to buy it.
The correlation of Cross Country is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Cross Country moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Cross Country Healthcare moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Cross Country can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Cross Country Healthcare offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Cross Country's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cross Country Healthcare Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cross Country Healthcare Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cross Country to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cross Country. If investors know Cross will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cross Country listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.79)
Earnings Share
(0.49)
Revenue Per Share
34.789
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.21)
Return On Assets
0.0048
The market value of Cross Country Healthcare is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cross that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cross Country's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cross Country's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cross Country's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cross Country's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cross Country's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cross Country is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cross Country's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.