Candelaria Mining Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

CDELF Stock  USD 0  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Candelaria Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04. Candelaria Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Candelaria Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Candelaria Mining's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Candelaria Mining's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Candelaria Mining and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Candelaria Mining's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Candelaria Mining Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Candelaria Mining hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Candelaria Mining Corp from the perspective of Candelaria Mining response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Candelaria Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.

Candelaria Mining after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.003096  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Candelaria Mining to cross-verify your projections.

Candelaria Mining Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Candelaria price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Candelaria using various technical indicators. When you analyze Candelaria charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Candelaria Mining is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Candelaria Mining Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Candelaria Mining Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Candelaria Mining Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0007, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000104, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.04.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Candelaria Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Candelaria Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Candelaria Mining Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Candelaria MiningCandelaria Mining Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Candelaria Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Candelaria Mining's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Candelaria Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00003 and 8.28, respectively. We have considered Candelaria Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0
0.00003
Downside
0
Expected Value
8.28
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Candelaria Mining pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Candelaria Mining pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.3365
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation7.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1386
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0442
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Candelaria Mining Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Candelaria Mining. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Candelaria Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Candelaria Mining Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.0008.27
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.0008.27
Details

Candelaria Mining After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Candelaria Mining at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Candelaria Mining or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Candelaria Mining, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Candelaria Mining Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Candelaria Mining's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Candelaria Mining's historical news coverage. Candelaria Mining's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.27, respectively. We have considered Candelaria Mining's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0
0
After-hype Price
8.27
Upside
Candelaria Mining is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Candelaria Mining Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Candelaria Mining Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Candelaria Mining is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Candelaria Mining backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Candelaria Mining, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.39 
8.27
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0
0
3.19 
0.00  
Notes

Candelaria Mining Hype Timeline

Candelaria Mining Corp is currently traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Candelaria is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.003096 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 3.19%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -1.39%. The volatility of related hype on Candelaria Mining is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. Candelaria Mining Corp has accumulated 1.37 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.13, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Candelaria Mining to cross-verify your projections.

Candelaria Mining Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Candelaria Mining's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Candelaria Mining's future price movements. Getting to know how Candelaria Mining's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Candelaria Mining may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RCTFFRochester Resources 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.31  38.89 (5.88) 121.17 
GAYGFGalway Gold 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ETUGFE2Gold Inc 0.00 0 per month 18.50  0.18  32.14 (36.36) 1,074 
JSHGJoshua Gold Resources 0.00 0 per month 11.17  0.06  50.00 (32.61) 122.38 
FALFFFalcon Metals Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.00  0.00  99.67 
WEGOFWescan Goldfields 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.07  0.00  0.00  78.98 
AVGDFAvidian Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 6.21  0.09  24.69 (11.09) 88.89 
SCVFFScotch Creek Ventures 0.00 0 per month 11.89  0.06  26.75 (26.62) 77.73 
WKGFFWestKam Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.27  0.00  35.56 
GFTRFGoldn Futures Mineral 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.15  0.00  0.00  1,099 

Other Forecasting Options for Candelaria Mining

For every potential investor in Candelaria, whether a beginner or expert, Candelaria Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Candelaria Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Candelaria. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Candelaria Mining's price trends.

Candelaria Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Candelaria Mining pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Candelaria Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Candelaria Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Candelaria Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Candelaria Mining pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Candelaria Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Candelaria Mining pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Candelaria Mining Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Candelaria Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Candelaria Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Candelaria Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting candelaria pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Candelaria Mining

The number of cover stories for Candelaria Mining depends on current market conditions and Candelaria Mining's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Candelaria Mining is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Candelaria Mining's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Candelaria Pink Sheet

Candelaria Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Candelaria Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Candelaria with respect to the benefits of owning Candelaria Mining security.