Cleveland Cliffs Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CLF Stock | USD 14.21 0.16 1.14% |
Cleveland Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cleveland Cliffs' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Cleveland Cliffs' share price is at 55 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cleveland Cliffs, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Cleveland Cliffs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cleveland Cliffs from the perspective of Cleveland Cliffs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cleveland Cliffs on the next trading day is expected to be 14.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.14. Cleveland Cliffs after-hype prediction price | USD 14.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Cleveland Cliffs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cleveland price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cleveland using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cleveland charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cleveland Cliffs Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Cleveland Cliffs on the next trading day is expected to be 14.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cleveland Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cleveland Cliffs' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cleveland Cliffs Stock Forecast Pattern
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Cleveland Cliffs Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cleveland Cliffs' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cleveland Cliffs' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.75 and 17.67, respectively. We have considered Cleveland Cliffs' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cleveland Cliffs stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cleveland Cliffs stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.6118 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0297 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3357 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0269 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 20.14 |
Predictive Modules for Cleveland Cliffs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cleveland Cliffs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cleveland Cliffs After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cleveland Cliffs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cleveland Cliffs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cleveland Cliffs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cleveland Cliffs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cleveland Cliffs' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cleveland Cliffs' historical news coverage. Cleveland Cliffs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.75 and 17.67, respectively. We have considered Cleveland Cliffs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cleveland Cliffs is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cleveland Cliffs is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cleveland Cliffs Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cleveland Cliffs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cleveland Cliffs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cleveland Cliffs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 3.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.21 | 14.21 | 0.00 |
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Cleveland Cliffs Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Cleveland Cliffs is traded for 14.21. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cleveland is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cleveland Cliffs is about 115333.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.21. About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.49. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cleveland Cliffs recorded a loss per share of 3.4. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of April 2020. The firm had 2:1 split on the 16th of May 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cleveland Cliffs to cross-verify your projections.Cleveland Cliffs Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cleveland Cliffs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cleveland Cliffs' future price movements. Getting to know how Cleveland Cliffs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cleveland Cliffs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GGB | Gerdau SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.51 | 0.19 | 2.87 | (2.40) | 11.29 | |
| TX | Ternium SA ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.94 | 0.21 | 2.69 | (1.55) | 6.55 | |
| CMC | Commercial Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.18 | 0.21 | 3.71 | (1.90) | 8.69 | |
| EMN | Eastman Chemical | (1.01) | 10 per month | 1.76 | 0.06 | 4.94 | (3.60) | 9.74 | |
| BTG | B2Gold Corp | 0.98 | 8 per month | 2.45 | 0.13 | 5.48 | (4.56) | 14.92 | |
| HBM | Hudbay Minerals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.17 | 0.28 | 5.44 | (4.01) | 12.33 | |
| AG | First Majestic Silver | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.12 | 0.26 | 8.86 | (5.18) | 17.91 | |
| LPX | Louisiana Pacific | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.53 | (0.01) | 4.15 | (2.87) | 11.96 | |
| OR | Osisko Gold Ro | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.44 | 0.25 | 4.10 | (2.63) | 9.72 | |
| NEU | NewMarket | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.98 | (2.77) | 11.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cleveland Cliffs
For every potential investor in Cleveland, whether a beginner or expert, Cleveland Cliffs' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cleveland Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cleveland. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cleveland Cliffs' price trends.Cleveland Cliffs Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cleveland Cliffs stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cleveland Cliffs could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cleveland Cliffs by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cleveland Cliffs Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cleveland Cliffs stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cleveland Cliffs shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cleveland Cliffs stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cleveland Cliffs entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Cleveland Cliffs Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cleveland Cliffs' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cleveland Cliffs' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cleveland stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.57 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.46 | |||
| Variance | 11.97 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.13 | |||
| Semi Variance | 15.58 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cleveland Cliffs
The number of cover stories for Cleveland Cliffs depends on current market conditions and Cleveland Cliffs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cleveland Cliffs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cleveland Cliffs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cleveland Cliffs Short Properties
Cleveland Cliffs' future price predictability will typically decrease when Cleveland Cliffs' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cleveland Cliffs often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cleveland Cliffs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cleveland Cliffs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 480 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 54 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cleveland Cliffs to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Cleveland Stock please use our How to Invest in Cleveland Cliffs guide.You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Can Stock industry sustain growth momentum? Does Cleveland have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cleveland Cliffs. Projected growth potential of Cleveland fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Cleveland Cliffs demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
The market value of Cleveland Cliffs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cleveland that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cleveland Cliffs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cleveland Cliffs' true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Cleveland Cliffs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cleveland Cliffs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cleveland Cliffs' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cleveland Cliffs should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Cleveland Cliffs' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.