Cellnex Telecom Stock Forward View

CLNX Stock  EUR 26.06  0.44  1.72%   
Cellnex Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Cellnex Telecom stock prices and determine the direction of Cellnex Telecom SA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Cellnex Telecom's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Cellnex Telecom's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cellnex Telecom, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cellnex Telecom's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cellnex Telecom SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Cellnex Telecom hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cellnex Telecom SA from the perspective of Cellnex Telecom response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cellnex Telecom SA on the next trading day is expected to be 25.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.15.

Cellnex Telecom after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 26.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cellnex Telecom to cross-verify your projections.

Cellnex Telecom Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cellnex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cellnex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cellnex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Cellnex Telecom is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Cellnex Telecom SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Cellnex Telecom Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cellnex Telecom SA on the next trading day is expected to be 25.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.30, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.15.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cellnex Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cellnex Telecom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Cellnex Telecom Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Cellnex Telecom  Cellnex Telecom Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Cellnex Telecom Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Cellnex Telecom's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cellnex Telecom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.65 and 27.29, respectively. We have considered Cellnex Telecom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.06
25.97
Expected Value
27.29
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cellnex Telecom stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cellnex Telecom stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0888
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2975
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0115
SAESum of the absolute errors18.1456
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Cellnex Telecom SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Cellnex Telecom. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Cellnex Telecom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cellnex Telecom SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.7426.0627.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.6826.0027.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
24.9526.3327.70
Details

Cellnex Telecom After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cellnex Telecom at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cellnex Telecom or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cellnex Telecom, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cellnex Telecom Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cellnex Telecom's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cellnex Telecom's historical news coverage. Cellnex Telecom's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.74 and 27.38, respectively. We have considered Cellnex Telecom's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
26.06
26.06
After-hype Price
27.38
Upside
Cellnex Telecom is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cellnex Telecom SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cellnex Telecom Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cellnex Telecom is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cellnex Telecom backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cellnex Telecom, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.32
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
26.06
26.06
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Cellnex Telecom Hype Timeline

Cellnex Telecom SA is currently traded for 26.06on Madrid Exchange of Spain. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cellnex is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cellnex Telecom is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.06. About 59.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.81. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cellnex Telecom SA has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 558.85. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.59. The firm last dividend was issued on the 15th of June 2022. Cellnex Telecom had 1044:967 split on the 1st of April 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cellnex Telecom to cross-verify your projections.

Cellnex Telecom Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cellnex Telecom's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cellnex Telecom's future price movements. Getting to know how Cellnex Telecom's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cellnex Telecom may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RLIARealia 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 2.04 (2.00) 7.84 
MTBMontebalito SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.94 (2.78) 8.00 
ISURInmobiliaria del Sur 0.00 0 per month 0.94  0.08  1.90 (1.43) 7.14 
RENRenta Corporacion Real 0.00 0 per month 1.06  0.05  2.86 (2.67) 7.81 
MRLMerlin Properties SOCIMI 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 1.77 (2.30) 5.92 
NYENyesa Valores Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 7.69 (5.88) 31.25 
YGMPGMP Property SOCIMI 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
COLInmobiliaria Colonial SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.31 (1.91) 6.84 
YVITVitruvio Real Estate 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.14) 0.61 (0.61) 1.84 
YATOAtom Hoteles Socimi 0.00 0 per month 0.47  0.04  1.34 (0.65) 5.26 

Other Forecasting Options for Cellnex Telecom

For every potential investor in Cellnex, whether a beginner or expert, Cellnex Telecom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cellnex Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cellnex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cellnex Telecom's price trends.

Cellnex Telecom Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cellnex Telecom stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cellnex Telecom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cellnex Telecom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Cellnex Telecom Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cellnex Telecom stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cellnex Telecom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cellnex Telecom stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cellnex Telecom SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Cellnex Telecom Risk Indicators

The analysis of Cellnex Telecom's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cellnex Telecom's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cellnex stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Cellnex Telecom

The number of cover stories for Cellnex Telecom depends on current market conditions and Cellnex Telecom's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cellnex Telecom is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cellnex Telecom's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Cellnex Telecom Short Properties

Cellnex Telecom's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cellnex Telecom's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cellnex Telecom SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cellnex Telecom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cellnex Telecom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding659.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.9 B

Other Information on Investing in Cellnex Stock

Cellnex Telecom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cellnex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cellnex with respect to the benefits of owning Cellnex Telecom security.