Concentra Group Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CON Stock | 21.60 0.12 0.56% |
Concentra Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of Concentra Group's share price is at 58 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Concentra Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Concentra Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Concentra Group Holdings from the perspective of Concentra Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Concentra Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.22. Concentra Group after-hype prediction price | USD 21.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Concentra Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Concentra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Concentra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Concentra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Concentra Group Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Concentra Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 21.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Concentra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Concentra Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Concentra Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Concentra Group | Concentra Group Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Concentra Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Concentra Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Concentra Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.80 and 23.40, respectively. We have considered Concentra Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Concentra Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Concentra Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.2447 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.029 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2703 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0134 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 16.22 |
Predictive Modules for Concentra Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Concentra Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Concentra Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Concentra Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Concentra Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Concentra Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Concentra Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Concentra Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Concentra Group's historical news coverage. Concentra Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.80 and 23.40, respectively. We have considered Concentra Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Concentra Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Concentra Group Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Concentra Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Concentra Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Concentra Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Concentra Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.60 | 21.60 | 0.00 |
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Concentra Group Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Concentra Group Holdings is traded for 21.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Concentra is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Concentra Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.60. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Concentra Group to cross-verify your projections.Concentra Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Concentra Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Concentra Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Concentra Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Concentra Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HAE | Haemonetics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.52 | 0.11 | 3.10 | (3.11) | 37.26 | |
| XRAY | Dentsply Sirona | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.72 | (0.02) | 4.84 | (2.96) | 13.76 | |
| BHC | Bausch Health Companies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.68 | (4.63) | 21.07 | |
| CPRX | Catalyst Pharmaceuticals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.58 | 0.10 | 3.00 | (3.08) | 10.89 | |
| PINC | Premier | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.56 | (0.59) | 30.28 | |
| ITGR | Integer Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.26 | 3.57 | (2.10) | 8.03 | |
| HCM | HUTCHMED DRC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.60 | 0.01 | 2.84 | (2.68) | 9.30 | |
| BEAM | Beam Therapeutics | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.34 | 0.06 | 8.12 | (6.23) | 31.78 | |
| PBH | Prestige Brand Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.01 | 2.37 | (2.30) | 6.29 | |
| ADUS | Addus HomeCare | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.84 | (3.16) | 11.54 |
Other Forecasting Options for Concentra Group
For every potential investor in Concentra, whether a beginner or expert, Concentra Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Concentra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Concentra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Concentra Group's price trends.Concentra Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Concentra Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Concentra Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Concentra Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Concentra Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Concentra Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Concentra Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Concentra Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Concentra Group Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Concentra Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of Concentra Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Concentra Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting concentra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Variance | 3.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Concentra Group
The number of cover stories for Concentra Group depends on current market conditions and Concentra Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Concentra Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Concentra Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Concentra Group Short Properties
Concentra Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Concentra Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Concentra Group Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Concentra Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Concentra Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 128.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 183.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Concentra Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Concentra diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Concentra Group. Projected growth potential of Concentra fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Concentra Group data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Concentra Group Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Concentra Group's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Concentra Group's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Concentra Group's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Concentra Group should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Concentra Group's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.