Country Garden Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CTRGF Stock | USD 0.82 0.00 0.00% |
Country Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Country Garden's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Country Garden's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Country Garden hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Country Garden Services from the perspective of Country Garden response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Country Garden Services on the next trading day is expected to be 0.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Country Garden after-hype prediction price | USD 0.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Country |
Country Garden Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Country price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Country using various technical indicators. When you analyze Country charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Country Garden Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Country Garden Services on the next trading day is expected to be 0.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Country Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Country Garden's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Country Garden Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Country Garden | Country Garden Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Country Garden Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Country Garden's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Country Garden's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.82 and 0.82, respectively. We have considered Country Garden's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Country Garden pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Country Garden pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Country Garden
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Country Garden Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Country Garden After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Country Garden at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Country Garden or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Country Garden, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Country Garden Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Country Garden's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Country Garden's historical news coverage. Country Garden's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.82 and 0.82, respectively. We have considered Country Garden's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Country Garden is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Country Garden Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Country Garden Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Country Garden is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Country Garden backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Country Garden, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.82 | 0.82 | 0.00 |
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Country Garden Hype Timeline
Country Garden Services is currently traded for 0.82. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Country is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Country Garden is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.82. About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Country Garden Services has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.36. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Country Garden to cross-verify your projections.Country Garden Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Country Garden's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Country Garden's future price movements. Getting to know how Country Garden's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Country Garden may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VGPBF | VGP NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.78 | (1.48) | 11.77 | |
| HNLGF | Hang Lung Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.87 | |
| HNLGY | Hang Lung Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.08 | 3.63 | (1.82) | 20.46 | |
| CNPPF | China Overseas Property | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.33 | |
| FSRPF | Frasers Property Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.09 | |
| LLESF | Lend Lease Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.00 | |
| LLESY | Lend Lease Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.58 | (5.72) | 28.76 | |
| TAGOF | TAG Immobilien AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.30) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.92 | |
| IWGFF | IWG PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.02 | 0.02 | 3.85 | (3.34) | 9.14 | |
| GRDDY | Grand City Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Country Garden
For every potential investor in Country, whether a beginner or expert, Country Garden's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Country Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Country. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Country Garden's price trends.Country Garden Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Country Garden pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Country Garden could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Country Garden by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Country Garden Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Country Garden pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Country Garden shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Country Garden pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Country Garden Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Country Garden
The number of cover stories for Country Garden depends on current market conditions and Country Garden's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Country Garden is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Country Garden's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Country Pink Sheet
Country Garden financial ratios help investors to determine whether Country Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Country with respect to the benefits of owning Country Garden security.