CTT Systems Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

CTT Stock  SEK 195.40  3.80  1.91%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CTT Systems AB on the next trading day is expected to be 197.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 159.95. CTT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of CTT Systems' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CTT Systems' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CTT Systems AB, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CTT Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CTT Systems AB from the perspective of CTT Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CTT Systems AB on the next trading day is expected to be 197.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 159.95.

CTT Systems after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 199.2  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CTT Systems to cross-verify your projections.

CTT Systems Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CTT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CTT using various technical indicators. When you analyze CTT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for CTT Systems is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

CTT Systems Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CTT Systems AB on the next trading day is expected to be 197.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.71, mean absolute percentage error of 13.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 159.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CTT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CTT Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CTT Systems Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CTT SystemsCTT Systems Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CTT Systems Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CTT Systems' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CTT Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 195.66 and 198.94, respectively. We have considered CTT Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
195.40
195.66
Downside
197.30
Expected Value
198.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CTT Systems stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CTT Systems stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.0188
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.428
MADMean absolute deviation2.711
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.014
SAESum of the absolute errors159.95
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of CTT Systems AB price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of CTT Systems. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for CTT Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CTT Systems AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
197.56199.20200.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
196.11197.75199.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
172.98189.48205.99
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CTT Systems

For every potential investor in CTT, whether a beginner or expert, CTT Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CTT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CTT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CTT Systems' price trends.

CTT Systems Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CTT Systems stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CTT Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CTT Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CTT Systems AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CTT Systems' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CTT Systems' current price.

CTT Systems Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CTT Systems stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CTT Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CTT Systems stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CTT Systems AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CTT Systems Risk Indicators

The analysis of CTT Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CTT Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ctt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for CTT Stock Analysis

When running CTT Systems' price analysis, check to measure CTT Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CTT Systems is operating at the current time. Most of CTT Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CTT Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CTT Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CTT Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.