Clearwater Analytics Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CWAN Stock | USD 24.08 0.05 0.21% |
Clearwater Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Clearwater Analytics' stock price is about 65 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Clearwater, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using Clearwater Analytics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Clearwater Analytics Holdings from the perspective of Clearwater Analytics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Clearwater Analytics Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 25.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.07. Clearwater Analytics after-hype prediction price | USD 24.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Clearwater Analytics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Clearwater price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Clearwater using various technical indicators. When you analyze Clearwater charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Clearwater Analytics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Clearwater Analytics Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 25.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 1.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 48.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Clearwater Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Clearwater Analytics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Clearwater Analytics Stock Forecast Pattern
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Clearwater Analytics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Clearwater Analytics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Clearwater Analytics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.97 and 28.44, respectively. We have considered Clearwater Analytics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Clearwater Analytics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Clearwater Analytics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.1311 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.788 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0378 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 48.0689 |
Predictive Modules for Clearwater Analytics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Clearwater Analytics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Clearwater Analytics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Clearwater Analytics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Clearwater Analytics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Clearwater Analytics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Clearwater Analytics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Clearwater Analytics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Clearwater Analytics' historical news coverage. Clearwater Analytics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.35 and 26.81, respectively. We have considered Clearwater Analytics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Clearwater Analytics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Clearwater Analytics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Clearwater Analytics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Clearwater Analytics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Clearwater Analytics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Clearwater Analytics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.48 | 2.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.08 | 24.08 | 0.00 |
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Clearwater Analytics Hype Timeline
Clearwater Analytics is currently traded for 24.08. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Clearwater is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.48%. %. The volatility of related hype on Clearwater Analytics is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.08. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Clearwater Analytics was currently reported as 6.87. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearwater Analytics to cross-verify your projections.Clearwater Analytics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Clearwater Analytics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Clearwater Analytics' future price movements. Getting to know how Clearwater Analytics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Clearwater Analytics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BILL | Bill Com Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.55 | (4.54) | 18.79 | |
| WK | Workiva | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.07 | (3.49) | 10.41 | |
| WEX | Wex Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.42 | 0.05 | 3.31 | (2.42) | 8.14 | |
| FROG | Jfrog | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.67 | 0.06 | 6.25 | (4.57) | 31.58 | |
| DGNX | Diginex Limited Ordinary | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 17.74 | (21.43) | 58.12 | |
| BULL | Webull Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 4.58 | (5.86) | 12.33 | |
| ACIW | ACI Worldwide | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.08 | (3.12) | 9.43 | |
| INGM | Ingram Micro Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.45 | (2.64) | 9.17 | |
| BTDR | Bitdeer Technologies Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 8.05 | (9.13) | 23.93 | |
| ZETA | Zeta Global Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.71 | 0.04 | 8.32 | (5.77) | 28.98 |
Other Forecasting Options for Clearwater Analytics
For every potential investor in Clearwater, whether a beginner or expert, Clearwater Analytics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Clearwater Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Clearwater. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Clearwater Analytics' price trends.Clearwater Analytics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Clearwater Analytics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Clearwater Analytics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Clearwater Analytics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Clearwater Analytics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Clearwater Analytics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Clearwater Analytics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Clearwater Analytics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Clearwater Analytics Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 72884.97 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.56) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.12 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.1 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 65.11 |
Clearwater Analytics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Clearwater Analytics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Clearwater Analytics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting clearwater stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Variance | 7.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.08 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.02 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.95) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Clearwater Analytics
The number of cover stories for Clearwater Analytics depends on current market conditions and Clearwater Analytics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Clearwater Analytics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Clearwater Analytics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Clearwater Analytics Short Properties
Clearwater Analytics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Clearwater Analytics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Clearwater Analytics Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Clearwater Analytics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clearwater Analytics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 254.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 255.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Clearwater Analytics to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Clearwater diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Clearwater Analytics. Projected growth potential of Clearwater fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Clearwater Analytics data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Clearwater Analytics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Clearwater that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Clearwater Analytics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Clearwater Analytics' true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Clearwater Analytics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Clearwater Analytics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Clearwater Analytics' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Clearwater Analytics should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Clearwater Analytics' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.