MFS Investment Stock Forward View

CXH Stock  USD 8.07  0.05  0.62%   
MFS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MFS Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of MFS Investment's stock price is under 62 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 29th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling MFS, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of MFS Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MFS Investment Grade, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using MFS Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MFS Investment Grade from the perspective of MFS Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of MFS Investment Grade on the next trading day is expected to be 8.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.99.

MFS Investment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MFS Investment to cross-verify your projections.

MFS Investment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MFS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MFS using various technical indicators. When you analyze MFS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for MFS Investment is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of MFS Investment Grade value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

MFS Investment Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of MFS Investment Grade on the next trading day is expected to be 8.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MFS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MFS Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

MFS Investment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest MFS Investment  MFS Investment Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

MFS Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting MFS Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MFS Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.73 and 8.33, respectively. We have considered MFS Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
8.07
8.03
Expected Value
8.33
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MFS Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MFS Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria110.4401
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0163
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.002
SAESum of the absolute errors0.9927
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of MFS Investment Grade. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict MFS Investment. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for MFS Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MFS Investment Grade. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MFS Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000.30
Details

MFS Investment After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of MFS Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MFS Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MFS Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

MFS Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting MFS Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MFS Investment's historical news coverage. MFS Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.30, respectively. We have considered MFS Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.07
0.00
After-hype Price
0.30
Upside
MFS Investment is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFS Investment Grade is based on 3 months time horizon.

MFS Investment Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MFS Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MFS Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MFS Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
0.30
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.07
0.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

MFS Investment Hype Timeline

On the 29th of January MFS Investment Grade is traded for 8.07. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MFS is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on MFS Investment is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.07. About 50.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. MFS Investment Grade last dividend was issued on the 20th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MFS Investment to cross-verify your projections.

MFS Investment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to MFS Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MFS Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how MFS Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MFS Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MMEYXVictory Integrity Discovery 0.00 0 per month 0.64  0.19  2.78 (1.74) 11.12 
IBUFInnovator ETFs Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.14 (0.03) 0.55 (0.42) 1.22 
OTPIXNasdaq 100 Profund Nasdaq 100 0.00 0 per month 1.14 (0.04) 1.49 (2.06) 4.74 
HIMGXHarbor Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ARDEXAmg River Road 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.15  1.07 (0.78) 28.27 
TFESXInternational Equity Series 0.00 0 per month 0.52  0.16  1.43 (1.17) 3.51 
TFEQXInternational Equity Series 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.14  1.50 (1.08) 65.85 
IJUNInnovator ETFs Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.26  0.04  0.63 (0.67) 1.73 
JAMFXJacob Internet Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.19) 2.38 (3.18) 6.81 
GLNAXMfs Global New 0.00 0 per month 0.55  0.08  1.14 (1.03) 3.79 

Other Forecasting Options for MFS Investment

For every potential investor in MFS, whether a beginner or expert, MFS Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MFS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MFS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MFS Investment's price trends.

MFS Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MFS Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MFS Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MFS Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

MFS Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MFS Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MFS Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MFS Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MFS Investment Grade entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

MFS Investment Risk Indicators

The analysis of MFS Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MFS Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mfs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for MFS Investment

The number of cover stories for MFS Investment depends on current market conditions and MFS Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MFS Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MFS Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

MFS Investment Short Properties

MFS Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when MFS Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of MFS Investment Grade often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential MFS Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MFS Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding8.2 M
Dividends Paid-3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.38
When determining whether MFS Investment Grade offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of MFS Investment's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Mfs Investment Grade Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Mfs Investment Grade Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MFS Investment to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is there potential for Stock market expansion? Will MFS introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MFS Investment. Projected growth potential of MFS fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about MFS Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of MFS Investment Grade is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of MFS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of MFS Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is MFS Investment's true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because MFS Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect MFS Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between MFS Investment's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding MFS Investment should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, MFS Investment's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.