Dialight Plc Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

DIALF Stock  USD 4.10  0.08  1.99%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dialight plc on the next trading day is expected to be 4.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.25. Dialight Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dialight Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Dialight Plc's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dialight Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Dialight Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Dialight Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dialight plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Dialight Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dialight plc from the perspective of Dialight Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dialight plc on the next trading day is expected to be 4.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.25.

Dialight Plc after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dialight Plc to cross-verify your projections.

Dialight Plc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dialight price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dialight using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dialight charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Dialight Plc price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Dialight Plc Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Dialight plc on the next trading day is expected to be 4.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dialight Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dialight Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dialight Plc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dialight PlcDialight Plc Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Dialight Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dialight Plc's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dialight Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.74 and 6.68, respectively. We have considered Dialight Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.10
4.21
Expected Value
6.68
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dialight Plc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dialight Plc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.2199
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1188
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0323
SAESum of the absolute errors7.2465
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Dialight plc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Dialight Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dialight plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.634.106.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.094.567.03
Details

Dialight Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Dialight Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dialight Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Dialight Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Dialight Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Dialight Plc's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dialight Plc's historical news coverage. Dialight Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.63 and 6.57, respectively. We have considered Dialight Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.10
4.10
After-hype Price
6.57
Upside
Dialight Plc is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dialight plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Dialight Plc Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dialight Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dialight Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dialight Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.46 
2.47
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.10
4.10
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Dialight Plc Hype Timeline

Dialight plc is currently traded for 4.10. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Dialight is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dialight Plc is about 35285.71%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.10. About 78.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.36. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Dialight plc last dividend was issued on the 30th of April 2015. The entity had 100:189 split on the 30th of June 2003. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dialight Plc to cross-verify your projections.

Dialight Plc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Dialight Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dialight Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Dialight Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dialight Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AFGYFAFC Energy plc 0.00 0 per month 3.84  0.04  9.09 (8.33) 39.58 
ILIKFIlika plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 6.52 (5.26) 15.10 
AMROFAmaero International 0.00 0 per month 6.68  0.07  18.75 (11.76) 63.81 
TNPOFTen Pao Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
YMAIFYoma Strategic Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.00  0.00  6.51 
NORSFNorsk Titanium AS 0.00 0 per month 6.53  0.0007  16.67 (15.38) 63.03 
SKUYFSansei Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CNRDConrad Industries 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.29 (4.19) 14.66 
QEPCQEP Co Inc 0.00 0 per month 1.19 (0.01) 2.63 (2.53) 9.02 
FCELFuelCell Energy 0.07 11 per month 5.05  0.05  12.26 (8.69) 35.51 

Other Forecasting Options for Dialight Plc

For every potential investor in Dialight, whether a beginner or expert, Dialight Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dialight Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dialight. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dialight Plc's price trends.

Dialight Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dialight Plc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dialight Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dialight Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dialight Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dialight Plc pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dialight Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dialight Plc pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Dialight plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dialight Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dialight Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dialight Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dialight pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Dialight Plc

The number of cover stories for Dialight Plc depends on current market conditions and Dialight Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dialight Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dialight Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Dialight Plc Short Properties

Dialight Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dialight Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dialight plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dialight Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dialight Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.6 M
Short Long Term DebtM

Other Information on Investing in Dialight Pink Sheet

Dialight Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dialight Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dialight with respect to the benefits of owning Dialight Plc security.