Duluth Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| DLTH Stock | USD 2.54 0.07 2.83% |
Duluth Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Duluth Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 29th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Duluth Holdings' share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Duluth Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.41) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.21) | Wall Street Target Price 5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.46) |
Using Duluth Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Duluth Holdings from the perspective of Duluth Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Duluth Holdings using Duluth Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Duluth using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Duluth Holdings' stock price.
Duluth Holdings Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Duluth Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Duluth. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Duluth Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 2.5157 | Short Percent 0.0349 | Short Ratio 2.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 462.2 K | 50 Day MA 2.5944 |
Duluth Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Duluth Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.18.Duluth Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Duluth Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Duluth. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Duluth can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Duluth Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Duluth Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Duluth Holdings.
Duluth Holdings Implied Volatility | 3.44 |
Duluth Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Duluth Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Duluth Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Duluth Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Duluth Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Duluth Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.18. Duluth Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 2.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Duluth Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Duluth Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Duluth Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Duluth Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Duluth Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Duluth Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to Duluth Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Duluth Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Duluth. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Duluth Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Duluth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Duluth using various technical indicators. When you analyze Duluth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Duluth Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Duluth Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 2.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Duluth Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Duluth Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Duluth Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Duluth Holdings | Duluth Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Duluth Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Duluth Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Duluth Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 7.17, respectively. We have considered Duluth Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Duluth Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Duluth Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6746 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2489 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0957 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.18 |
Predictive Modules for Duluth Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duluth Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Duluth Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Duluth Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Duluth Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Duluth Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Duluth Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Duluth Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Duluth Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Duluth Holdings' historical news coverage. Duluth Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 7.56, respectively. We have considered Duluth Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Duluth Holdings is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Duluth Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Duluth Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Duluth Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Duluth Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Duluth Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 5.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.54 | 2.54 | 0.00 |
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Duluth Holdings Hype Timeline
Duluth Holdings is currently traded for 2.54. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Duluth is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Duluth Holdings is about 11952.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.54. About 61.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.58. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Duluth Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.37. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.88. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Duluth Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Duluth Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Duluth Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Duluth Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Duluth Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Duluth Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RRGB | Red Robin Gourmet | (0.33) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 4.75 | (5.15) | 11.57 | |
| QVCGA | QVC Group | 0.14 | 7 per month | 9.48 | (0) | 14.97 | (14.29) | 46.70 | |
| BARK | BARK Inc | 0.05 | 8 per month | 3.06 | 0.01 | 10.61 | (5.71) | 29.00 | |
| SPWH | Sportsmans | 0.20 | 35 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.96 | (6.07) | 37.14 | |
| IRBT | IRobot | (0.19) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 21.78 | (33.87) | 146.53 | |
| CLAR | Clarus Corp | (0.04) | 4 per month | 2.33 | 0.02 | 3.66 | (3.78) | 18.58 | |
| GRWG | GrowGeneration Corp | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.33 | (5.82) | 52.12 | |
| PLBY | Plby Group | (0.02) | 9 per month | 4.23 | 0.06 | 6.43 | (7.10) | 33.37 | |
| FOSL | Fossil Group | (0.16) | 8 per month | 4.42 | 0.14 | 9.27 | (9.09) | 26.80 | |
| CATO | Cato Corporation | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.27 | (5.63) | 18.39 |
Other Forecasting Options for Duluth Holdings
For every potential investor in Duluth, whether a beginner or expert, Duluth Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Duluth Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Duluth. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Duluth Holdings' price trends.Duluth Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Duluth Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Duluth Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Duluth Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Duluth Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Duluth Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Duluth Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Duluth Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Duluth Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Duluth Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Duluth Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Duluth Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting duluth stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.9 | |||
| Variance | 23.99 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Duluth Holdings
The number of cover stories for Duluth Holdings depends on current market conditions and Duluth Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Duluth Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Duluth Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Duluth Holdings Short Properties
Duluth Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Duluth Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Duluth Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Duluth Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duluth Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Duluth Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Duluth Stock please use our How to Invest in Duluth Holdings guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Is there potential for Specialty Retail market expansion? Will Duluth introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Duluth Holdings. Projected growth potential of Duluth fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Duluth Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Earnings Share (0.88) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Duluth Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Duluth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Duluth Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Duluth Holdings' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Duluth Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Duluth Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Duluth Holdings' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Duluth Holdings should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Duluth Holdings' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.