Encore Capital Stock Forward View
| ECPG Stock | USD 55.56 1.65 3.06% |
Encore Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Encore Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, The relative strength indicator of Encore Capital's share price is at 58 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Encore Capital, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.516 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.77 | EPS Estimate Current Year 9.39 | EPS Estimate Next Year 8.085 | Wall Street Target Price 62.6667 |
Using Encore Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Encore Capital Group from the perspective of Encore Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Encore Capital using Encore Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Encore using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Encore Capital's stock price.
Encore Capital Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Encore Capital's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Encore. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Encore Capital stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 43.5537 | Short Percent 0.07 | Short Ratio 5.66 | Shares Short Prior Month 1 M | 50 Day MA 53.8354 |
Encore Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Encore Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 55.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.70.Encore Capital Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Encore Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Encore. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Encore can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Encore Capital Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Encore Capital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Encore Capital.
Encore Capital Implied Volatility | 0.72 |
Encore Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Encore Capital Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Encore Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Encore Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Encore Capital's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Encore Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 55.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.70. Encore Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 55.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Encore Capital to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Encore contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Encore Capital Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.045% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Encore Capital trading at USD 55.56, that is roughly USD 0.025 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Encore Capital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Encore Capital Group options at the current volatility level of 0.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Encore Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Encore Capital's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Encore Capital's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Encore Capital stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Encore Capital's open interest, investors have to compare it to Encore Capital's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Encore Capital is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Encore. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Encore Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Encore price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Encore using various technical indicators. When you analyze Encore charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Encore Capital Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Encore Capital's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1999-03-31 | Previous Quarter 172.9 M | Current Value 172.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 85 M |
Encore Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Encore Capital Group on the next trading day is expected to be 55.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.75, mean absolute percentage error of 1.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.70.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Encore Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Encore Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Encore Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Encore Capital | Encore Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Encore Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Encore Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Encore Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 53.22 and 57.80, respectively. We have considered Encore Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Encore Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Encore Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.0236 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7532 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0149 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 46.6983 |
Predictive Modules for Encore Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Encore Capital Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Encore Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Encore Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Encore Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Encore Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Encore Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Encore Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Encore Capital's historical news coverage. Encore Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.25 and 57.87, respectively. We have considered Encore Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Encore Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Encore Capital Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Encore Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Encore Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Encore Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Encore Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.44 | 2.29 | 0.04 | 0.21 | 2 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
55.56 | 55.56 | 0.00 |
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Encore Capital Hype Timeline
Encore Capital Group is currently traded for 55.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.21. Encore is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.44%. %. The volatility of related hype on Encore Capital is about 476.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.77. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.26. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Encore Capital Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.17. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.8. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Encore Capital to cross-verify your projections.Encore Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Encore Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Encore Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Encore Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Encore Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LDI | Loandepot | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 7.47 | (7.64) | 32.35 | |
| JCAP | Jefferson Capital Common | (0.08) | 11 per month | 2.35 | 0.07 | 4.12 | (2.98) | 17.08 | |
| GEMI | Gemini Space Station | (0.07) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 7.34 | (10.18) | 44.06 | |
| TRIN | Trinity Capital | 0.40 | 9 per month | 1.09 | 0.17 | 2.45 | (1.55) | 6.36 | |
| IGIC | International General Insurance | 0.07 | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.10 | 2.20 | (1.66) | 9.34 | |
| BETR | Better Home Finance | 1.83 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 10.83 | (10.06) | 29.21 | |
| WRLD | World Acceptance | 2.89 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.13 | (5.39) | 23.16 | |
| ABTC | American Bitcoin Corp | 0.10 | 28 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 9.13 | (7.85) | 44.88 | |
| GHLD | Guild Holdings Co | (0.18) | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.97 | (0.35) | 221.47 | |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance | (0.14) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.41 | (1.72) | 7.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Encore Capital
For every potential investor in Encore, whether a beginner or expert, Encore Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Encore Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Encore. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Encore Capital's price trends.Encore Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Encore Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Encore Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Encore Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Encore Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Encore Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Encore Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Encore Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Encore Capital Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Encore Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Encore Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Encore Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting encore stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Variance | 5.45 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.23 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.84) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Encore Capital
The number of cover stories for Encore Capital depends on current market conditions and Encore Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Encore Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Encore Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Encore Capital Short Properties
Encore Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Encore Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Encore Capital Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Encore Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Encore Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 199.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Encore Capital to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Can Consumer Finance industry sustain growth momentum? Does Encore have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Encore Capital. Projected growth potential of Encore fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Encore Capital demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.516 | Earnings Share (1.80) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.254 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Encore Capital Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Encore that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Encore Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Encore Capital's true underlying value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Because Encore Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Encore Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Encore Capital's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Encore Capital should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Encore Capital's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.