EPrime Aerospace Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

EPEO Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
EPrime Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of EPrime Aerospace's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of EPrime Aerospace's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with EPrime Aerospace, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using EPrime Aerospace hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of EPrime Aerospace from the perspective of EPrime Aerospace response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EPrime Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

EPrime Aerospace after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EPrime Aerospace to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in EPrime Stock, please use our How to Invest in EPrime Aerospace guide.

EPrime Aerospace Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine EPrime price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for EPrime using various technical indicators. When you analyze EPrime charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
EPrime Aerospace simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for EPrime Aerospace are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as EPrime Aerospace prices get older.

EPrime Aerospace Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of EPrime Aerospace on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EPrime Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EPrime Aerospace's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EPrime Aerospace Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest EPrime Aerospace  EPrime Aerospace Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

EPrime Aerospace Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EPrime Aerospace's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EPrime Aerospace's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered EPrime Aerospace's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EPrime Aerospace stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EPrime Aerospace stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting EPrime Aerospace forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent EPrime Aerospace observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for EPrime Aerospace

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EPrime Aerospace. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EPrime Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

EPrime Aerospace After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of EPrime Aerospace at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in EPrime Aerospace or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of EPrime Aerospace, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

EPrime Aerospace Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting EPrime Aerospace's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on EPrime Aerospace's historical news coverage. EPrime Aerospace's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered EPrime Aerospace's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
EPrime Aerospace is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of EPrime Aerospace is based on 3 months time horizon.

EPrime Aerospace Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as EPrime Aerospace is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading EPrime Aerospace backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with EPrime Aerospace, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

EPrime Aerospace Hype Timeline

EPrime Aerospace is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. EPrime is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on EPrime Aerospace is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. EPrime Aerospace had 1:20 split on the 9th of May 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EPrime Aerospace to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in EPrime Stock, please use our How to Invest in EPrime Aerospace guide.

EPrime Aerospace Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to EPrime Aerospace's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict EPrime Aerospace's future price movements. Getting to know how EPrime Aerospace's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how EPrime Aerospace may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AATGFATI Airtest Technologies 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DVNHFFrontier Services Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  0.00  0.00  1,000.00 
JNSHJNS Holdings Corp 0.00 0 per month 6.77  0.03  17.65 (11.76) 38.10 
GXXMGex Management 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IEXAIExalt Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
VICTVictura Construction Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CYLCCounty Line Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
IJJPIjj Corporation 0.00 0 per month 34.86  0.32  1,000.00 (100.00) 1,100 
EDEYFEden Innovations 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  0.00  0.00  318.57 
TMGYTerminus Energy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for EPrime Aerospace

For every potential investor in EPrime, whether a beginner or expert, EPrime Aerospace's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EPrime Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EPrime. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EPrime Aerospace's price trends.

EPrime Aerospace Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EPrime Aerospace stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EPrime Aerospace could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EPrime Aerospace by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EPrime Aerospace Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EPrime Aerospace stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EPrime Aerospace shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EPrime Aerospace stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EPrime Aerospace entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for EPrime Aerospace

The number of cover stories for EPrime Aerospace depends on current market conditions and EPrime Aerospace's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that EPrime Aerospace is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about EPrime Aerospace's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
When determining whether EPrime Aerospace offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of EPrime Aerospace's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Eprime Aerospace Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Eprime Aerospace Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of EPrime Aerospace to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in EPrime Stock, please use our How to Invest in EPrime Aerospace guide.
You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could EPrime diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of EPrime Aerospace. Projected growth potential of EPrime fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every EPrime Aerospace data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate EPrime Aerospace using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating EPrime Aerospace's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause EPrime Aerospace's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between EPrime Aerospace's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding EPrime Aerospace should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, EPrime Aerospace's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.