Eagle Plains Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| EPL Stock | CAD 0.24 0.04 20.00% |
Eagle Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Eagle Plains' share price is above 70 at this time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Eagle, making its price go up or down. Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 7.303 | Wall Street Target Price 15 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.826 |
Using Eagle Plains hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eagle Plains Resources from the perspective of Eagle Plains response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eagle Plains Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.27. Eagle Plains after-hype prediction price | CAD 0.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Eagle |
Eagle Plains Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eagle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eagle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eagle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Eagle Plains Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Eagle Plains Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 0.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000073, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eagle Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eagle Plains' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Eagle Plains Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Eagle Plains | Eagle Plains Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Eagle Plains Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Eagle Plains' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eagle Plains' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.43, respectively. We have considered Eagle Plains' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eagle Plains stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eagle Plains stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 104.9139 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0019 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0047 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0275 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.275 |
Predictive Modules for Eagle Plains
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eagle Plains Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Eagle Plains After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eagle Plains at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eagle Plains or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eagle Plains, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eagle Plains Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eagle Plains' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eagle Plains' historical news coverage. Eagle Plains' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 4.84, respectively. We have considered Eagle Plains' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eagle Plains is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eagle Plains Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eagle Plains Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eagle Plains is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eagle Plains backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eagle Plains, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.89 | 5.21 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.24 | 0.21 | 5.00 |
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Eagle Plains Hype Timeline
Eagle Plains Resources is currently traded for 0.24on TSX Venture Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Eagle is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is anticipated to be 5.0%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.89%. The volatility of related hype on Eagle Plains is about 49357.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.25. Eagle Plains Resources has accumulated about 9.61 M in cash with (105.39 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.09. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eagle Plains to cross-verify your projections.Eagle Plains Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eagle Plains' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eagle Plains' future price movements. Getting to know how Eagle Plains' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eagle Plains may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ELEC | Electric Royalties | (0.01) | 3 per month | 4.66 | 0.06 | 7.69 | (7.14) | 33.03 | |
| TGOL | Thunder Gold Corp | 0.00 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 14.29 | (14.29) | 34.72 | |
| LLG | Mason Graphite | (0.01) | 1 per month | 4.67 | 0.02 | 10.00 | (9.09) | 24.88 | |
| BMET | BeMetals Corp | 0.00 | 3 per month | 5.03 | 0.04 | 10.00 | (9.09) | 41.83 | |
| TORQ | Torq Resources | 0.00 | 4 per month | 4.59 | 0.04 | 11.11 | (10.00) | 45.38 | |
| BAY | Aston Bay Holdings | 0.1 | 13 per month | 4.26 | 0.05 | 10.00 | (9.09) | 29.37 | |
| LIT | Argentina Lithium Energy | 0.00 | 4 per month | 6.49 | 0.08 | 15.38 | (10.00) | 39.61 | |
| WLF | Wolfden Resources | 0.01 | 4 per month | 5.16 | 0.02 | 11.11 | (9.09) | 36.36 | |
| DAU | Desert Gold Ventures | 0.00 | 6 per month | 4.04 | 0.08 | 12.50 | (11.11) | 27.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Eagle Plains
For every potential investor in Eagle, whether a beginner or expert, Eagle Plains' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eagle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eagle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eagle Plains' price trends.Eagle Plains Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eagle Plains stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eagle Plains could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eagle Plains by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Eagle Plains Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eagle Plains stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eagle Plains shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eagle Plains stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eagle Plains Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Eagle Plains Risk Indicators
The analysis of Eagle Plains' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eagle Plains' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eagle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.64 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.59 | |||
| Variance | 21.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 65.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (7.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Eagle Plains
The number of cover stories for Eagle Plains depends on current market conditions and Eagle Plains' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eagle Plains is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eagle Plains' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Eagle Stock Analysis
When running Eagle Plains' price analysis, check to measure Eagle Plains' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eagle Plains is operating at the current time. Most of Eagle Plains' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eagle Plains' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eagle Plains' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eagle Plains to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.