Exceed World Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| EXDW Stock | USD 0.17 0.00 0.00% |
Exceed Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Exceed World's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Exceed World hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exceed World from the perspective of Exceed World response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Exceed World on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12. Exceed World after-hype prediction price | USD 0.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Exceed |
Exceed World Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Exceed price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exceed using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exceed charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Exceed World Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Exceed World on the next trading day is expected to be 0.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.12.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Exceed Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Exceed World's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Exceed World Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
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Exceed World Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Exceed World's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Exceed World's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 4.20, respectively. We have considered Exceed World's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Exceed World pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Exceed World pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.5289 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.002 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.002 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.12 |
Predictive Modules for Exceed World
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Exceed World. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Exceed World's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Exceed World After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Exceed World at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exceed World or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Exceed World, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Exceed World Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Exceed World's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exceed World's historical news coverage. Exceed World's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 4.20, respectively. We have considered Exceed World's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Exceed World is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exceed World is based on 3 months time horizon.
Exceed World Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Exceed World is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exceed World backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exceed World, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 4.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.17 | 0.17 | 0.00 |
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Exceed World Hype Timeline
Exceed World is currently traded for 0.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Exceed is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.51%. %. The volatility of related hype on Exceed World is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.17. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Exceed World had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Exceed World to cross-verify your projections.Exceed World Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Exceed World's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exceed World's future price movements. Getting to know how Exceed World's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exceed World may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PURE | Pure Bioscience | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 20.00 | (16.67) | 45.00 | |
| TNYBF | The Tinley Beverage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NPRFF | Nepra Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.86 | 0.03 | 23.61 | (20.09) | 71.45 | |
| LNLHF | LeanLife Health | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HIGR | Hi Great Group Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 20.98 | 0.19 | 98.02 | (73.87) | 531.82 | |
| HERB | Yasheng Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 15.77 | 0.12 | 70.91 | (36.60) | 123.64 | |
| INDFY | Indofood Agri Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.39 | |
| NGTF | NightFood Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 19.40 | (16.67) | 64.23 | |
| KRTL | KRTL Holding Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 11.33 | 0 | 25.00 | (18.18) | 79.58 | |
| LTRE | Learning Tree International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 25.00 | 0.00 | 204.70 |
Other Forecasting Options for Exceed World
For every potential investor in Exceed, whether a beginner or expert, Exceed World's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Exceed Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Exceed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Exceed World's price trends.Exceed World Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Exceed World pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Exceed World could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Exceed World by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Exceed World Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Exceed World pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Exceed World shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Exceed World pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Exceed World entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Exceed World Risk Indicators
The analysis of Exceed World's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Exceed World's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting exceed pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.955 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.94 | |||
| Variance | 15.52 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Exceed World
The number of cover stories for Exceed World depends on current market conditions and Exceed World's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Exceed World is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Exceed World's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Exceed World Short Properties
Exceed World's future price predictability will typically decrease when Exceed World's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Exceed World often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Exceed World's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Exceed World's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.8 M |
Additional Tools for Exceed Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Exceed World's price analysis, check to measure Exceed World's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Exceed World is operating at the current time. Most of Exceed World's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Exceed World's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Exceed World's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Exceed World to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.