Fractal Gaming Stock Forward View
| FRACTL Stock | SEK 22.00 0.30 1.38% |
Fractal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fractal Gaming stock prices and determine the direction of Fractal Gaming Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fractal Gaming's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Fractal Gaming's share price is below 30 at this time. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fractal Gaming Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 27
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Fractal Gaming hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fractal Gaming Group from the perspective of Fractal Gaming response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fractal Gaming Group on the next trading day is expected to be 22.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.30. Fractal Gaming after-hype prediction price | SEK 22.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fractal |
Fractal Gaming Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fractal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fractal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fractal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fractal Gaming Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Fractal Gaming Group on the next trading day is expected to be 22.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.58, and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fractal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fractal Gaming's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Fractal Gaming Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Fractal Gaming | Fractal Gaming Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Fractal Gaming Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Fractal Gaming's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fractal Gaming's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.05 and 24.68, respectively. We have considered Fractal Gaming's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fractal Gaming stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fractal Gaming stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.565 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6115 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.021 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.3023 |
Predictive Modules for Fractal Gaming
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fractal Gaming Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fractal Gaming's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fractal Gaming After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fractal Gaming at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fractal Gaming or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fractal Gaming, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fractal Gaming Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fractal Gaming's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fractal Gaming's historical news coverage. Fractal Gaming's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.68 and 24.32, respectively. We have considered Fractal Gaming's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fractal Gaming is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fractal Gaming Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fractal Gaming Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fractal Gaming is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fractal Gaming backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fractal Gaming, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.66 | 2.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.00 | 22.00 | 0.00 |
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Fractal Gaming Hype Timeline
Fractal Gaming Group is currently traded for 22.00on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Fractal is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.66%. %. The volatility of related hype on Fractal Gaming is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.00. About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Fractal Gaming was currently reported as 9.56. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fractal Gaming to cross-verify your projections.Fractal Gaming Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fractal Gaming's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fractal Gaming's future price movements. Getting to know how Fractal Gaming's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fractal Gaming may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PREV-B | Prevas AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.13 | 0.18 | 3.14 | (2.10) | 25.70 | |
| NTEK-B | Novotek AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.84 | (4.03) | 8.87 | |
| SIVE | Sivers IMA Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 7.48 | (5.03) | 19.78 | |
| CAG | CAG Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 1.42 | (1.79) | 4.24 | |
| CTEK | Ctek AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.58 | (2.45) | 6.70 | |
| GIG-SDB | GiG Software PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.85 | (8.02) | 37.47 | |
| SOF-B | Softronic AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.15 | (1.84) | 8.33 | |
| CINT | Cint Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 4.71 | (5.79) | 32.03 | |
| CX | CombinedX AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.03 | 0.06 | 2.87 | (1.97) | 6.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Fractal Gaming
For every potential investor in Fractal, whether a beginner or expert, Fractal Gaming's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fractal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fractal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fractal Gaming's price trends.Fractal Gaming Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fractal Gaming stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fractal Gaming could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fractal Gaming by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fractal Gaming Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fractal Gaming stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fractal Gaming shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fractal Gaming stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fractal Gaming Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fractal Gaming Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fractal Gaming's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fractal Gaming's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fractal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.79 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.31 | |||
| Variance | 5.32 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fractal Gaming
The number of cover stories for Fractal Gaming depends on current market conditions and Fractal Gaming's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fractal Gaming is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fractal Gaming's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fractal Gaming Short Properties
Fractal Gaming's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fractal Gaming's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fractal Gaming Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fractal Gaming's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fractal Gaming's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 M |
Other Information on Investing in Fractal Stock
Fractal Gaming financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fractal Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fractal with respect to the benefits of owning Fractal Gaming security.